Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.6590958    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 3-13, 60.3)    17- 1   
 409 A Notre Dame, West Haven CT M          (12- 8, 83.1)     9- 7   
 414 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 8- 8, 80.8)     8- 9   
 418 H Foran                  CT M          ( 8- 9, 72.5)    16- 5   
 421 H North Haven            CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.4)    12-11  o
 423 A Daniel Hand            CT M          (14- 7, 87.8)    11-13   
 428 A New Fairfield          CT M          (22- 0, 97.6)     5-16   
 430 H Fairfield Prep, CT     CT L          (14- 7, 92.3)     2-11   
 502 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-10, 74.5)    17- 6   
 504 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 6-10, 66.8)    18- 3   
 507 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 9, 86.4)     4-10   
 510 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT L          (11- 8, 83.3)     8-15   
 514 A Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)    11-12   
 516 H East Lyme              CT M          (13- 8, 78.1)    14- 7   
 519 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 9, 86.4)    12-18   
 521 A Stonington             CT S          ( 7-10, 67.3)    16- 3   
 522 A Simsbury               CT L          ( 8-10, 82.3)    12-11   
 526 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 8- 8, 80.8)    12-11   
 530 A Darien                 CT L          (22- 1, 99.9)     4-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Hamden                 17- 1      16    20           0.00
   409 A Notre Dame, West Haven  9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.28
   414 H Conard-West Hartford    8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.98
   418 H Foran                  16- 5      11    10           0.00
   421 H North Haven            12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.35
   423 A Daniel Hand            11-13      -2    -6    ++     5.00
   428 A New Fairfield           5-16     -11   -16           0.00
   430 H Fairfield Prep, CT      2-11      -9    -9           0.53
   502 A Amity Regional         17- 6      11     6    +      3.67
   504 A Norwich Free Academy   18- 3      15    14           0.00
   507 H Cheshire HS             4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.41
   510 H Fairfield Ludlowe       8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.55
   514 A Guilford               11-12      -1    -4    +      3.01
   516 H East Lyme              14- 7       7     4    +      2.33
   519 A Cheshire HS            12-18      -6    -5          -0.43
   521 A Stonington             16- 3      13    13           0.00
   522 A Simsbury               12-11       1    -1    +      2.50
   526 H Conard-West Hartford   12-11       1     1          -0.98
   530 A Darien                  4-23     -19   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Fairfield Ludlowe       8-15      -7     0    ---   -6.55
   414 H Conard-West Hartford    8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.98
   421 H North Haven            12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.35
   507 H Cheshire HS             4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Notre Dame, West Haven  9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.28
   423 A Daniel Hand            11-13      -2    -6    ++     5.00
   502 A Amity Regional         17- 6      11     6    +      3.67
   514 A Guilford               11-12      -1    -4    +      3.01
   516 H East Lyme              14- 7       7     4    +      2.33
   522 A Simsbury               12-11       1    -1    +      2.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.81 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.11 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    99
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/