Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Wayne Hummer          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.8290024    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)    13- 5   
 329 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (25- 1, 99.9)     1-16   
 331 H Red Lion               PA    York    (12- 8, 83.0)    10- 7   
 405 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-10, 74.6)    12- 4   
 407 A Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks-1 (12- 7, 81.2)     7- 5   
 410 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 65.8)    14- 3   
 412 A Palmyra, PA            PA    Mid 1   (22- 3, 93.2)     5-13   
 413 H Elizabethtown, PA      PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 71.7)    12- 3   
 417 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)    15- 6   
 421 A Exeter Township        PA    Berks-1 ( 8-12, 78.6)    12-11  o
 423 A Lancaster CDS, PA      PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 83.6)     4- 9   
 425 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (15- 5, 91.1)    12-20   
 427 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 81.0)     8- 7  o
 501 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 65.7)    20- 2   
 503 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 8, 84.8)     5- 4   
 508 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (15- 5, 91.1)     8-15   
 514 H Red Lion               PA    York    (12- 8, 83.0)     3- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Cedar Crest            13- 5       8     9          -1.29
   329 A Manheim Township        1-16     -15   -17           0.00
   331 H Red Lion               10- 7       3     1           1.31
   405 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   407 A Governor Mifflin        7- 5       2     1           0.54
   410 A Garden Spot            14- 3      11    16           0.00
   412 A Palmyra, PA             5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
   413 H Elizabethtown, PA      12- 3       9    13          -1.00
   417 H Cocalico               15- 6       9     9          -0.25
   421 A Exeter Township        12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.10
   423 A Lancaster CDS, PA       4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.11
   425 A Hempfield              12-20      -8    -8           0.42
   427 A Ephrata                 8- 7  o    1     1          -0.71
   501 H Conestoga Valley       20- 2      18    19           0.00
   503 H Penn Manor              5- 4       1     0           1.13
   508 H Hempfield               8-15      -7    -6          -0.56
   514 H Red Lion                3- 9      -6     1    ---   -7.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Red Lion                3- 9      -6     1    ---   -7.69
   423 A Lancaster CDS, PA       4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.11
   405 H Lampeter-Strasburg     12- 4       8    10    -     -2.00
   421 A Exeter Township        12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Palmyra, PA             5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.69 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.67 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/