Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8444672    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Bellport               NY B  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 74.8)     9- 4   
 328 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 79.6)     4- 8   
 403 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 65.5)    12- 5   
 405 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 86.5)     7-16   
 407 N Weston, CT             CT M          (15- 5, 85.8)     5- 8   
 410 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.1)     5- 9   
 412 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.9)     6-13   
 416 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 69.5)    14- 5   
 418 H Huntington, NY         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 79.1)     7- 8   
 420 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.3)    11- 6   
 425 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 78.8)    11- 9   
 427 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 59.2)    17- 1   
 501 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.5)    11- 5   
 504 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.5)     5-15   
 508 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.2)    11-12  o
 510 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 87.7)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Bellport                9- 4       5     3           1.54
   328 A Walt Whitman, NY        4- 8      -4    -2          -1.98
   403 H Brentwood, NY          12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   405 H Bay Shore               7-16      -9    -8          -0.71
   407 N Weston, CT              5- 8      -3    -7          n/a  
   410 H Lindenhurst             5- 9      -4    -3          -0.12
   412 A Riverhead               6-13      -7    -6          -0.73
   416 A North Babylon          14- 5       9     8           0.87
   418 H Huntington, NY          7- 8      -1     0          -0.09
   420 A Longwood               11- 6       5     5          -0.28
   425 A Patchogue-Medford      11- 9       2    -1    +      3.22
   427 A Copiague               17- 1      16    18           0.00
   501 H Middle Country         11- 5       6     5           0.25
   504 A Smithtown East          5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.14
   508 H Sachem East            11-12  o   -1    -2           1.95
   510 H West Islip              4-11      -7    -9    +      2.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Brentwood, NY          12- 5       7    12    -     -3.00
   504 A Smithtown East          5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 N Weston, CT              5- 8      -3    -7    ++         
   425 A Patchogue-Medford      11- 9       2    -1    +      3.22
   510 H West Islip              4-11      -7    -9    +      2.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.92 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.21 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/