Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4959946    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 89.6)     8- 4   
 326 H Iroquois, NY           NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 82.9)    12-10   
 327 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 81.9)    10-11  o
 411 A Lockport, NY           NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 73.0)    12- 3   
 412 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 81.0)    13- 2   
 413 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 76.3)    10- 6   
 423 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 93.1)     5- 8   
 425 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 93.7)     2-10   
 427 A Buffalo Co-Op, NY      NY A  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 66.5)    15- 0   
 430 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 71.5)    14- 1   
 502 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.2)     8- 5   
 504 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 83.5)     8- 6   
 507 A Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 77.0)    13- 2   
 509 A Frontier Central       NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.9)     8-11   
 511 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 3, 95.9)     7- 8   
 515 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 65.9)    15- 0   
 522 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 65.9)    18- 0   
 524 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 83.5)     9- 6   
 530 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 93.1)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Clarence                8- 4       4     0    +      3.93
   326 H Iroquois, NY           12-10       2     6    --    -4.77
   327 H Niagara-Wheatfield     10-11  o   -1     7    ---   -8.82
   411 A Lockport, NY           12- 3       9    16          -1.00
   412 H Amherst Central        13- 2      11     8           1.25
   413 H Rush-Henrietta         10- 6       4    13          n/a  
   423 A Hamburg                 5- 8      -3    -3           0.64
   425 H Orchard Park            2-10      -8    -4    -     -3.98
   427 A Buffalo Co-Op, NY      15- 0      15    23           0.00
   430 A Sweet Home             14- 1      13    18           0.00
   502 A West Seneca West        8- 5       3     2           0.70
   504 H Williamsville North     8- 6       2     6    --    -4.23
   507 A Williamsville South    13- 2      11    12           0.00
   509 A Frontier Central        8-11      -3     1    --    -4.58
   511 H Lancaster, NY           7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.23
   515 H North Tonawanda        15- 0      15    23           0.00
   522 H North Tonawanda        18- 0      18    23           0.00
   524 A Williamsville North     9- 6       3     5    -     -2.98
   530 N Hamburg                 6-11      -5    -3          -1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Niagara-Wheatfield     10-11  o   -1     7    ---   -8.82
   413 H Rush-Henrietta         10- 6       4    13    ---        
   326 H Iroquois, NY           12-10       2     6    --    -4.77
   504 H Williamsville North     8- 6       2     6    --    -4.23
   509 A Frontier Central        8-11      -3     1    --    -4.58
   425 H Orchard Park            2-10      -8    -4    -     -3.98
   524 A Williamsville North     9- 6       3     5    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Lancaster, NY           7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.23
   323 H Clarence                8- 4       4     0    +      3.93
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.58 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.55 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/