Conf =  Bay State                 Region = MA 1  South            
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Jim Connolly          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7731781    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Wayland                MA 2  CenEast (17- 3, 92.9)    11- 6   
 405 A Brookline              MA 1  South   ( 3-15, 72.5)    13- 1   
 410 H Norwood                MA 2  South   ( 1-17, 64.8)    23- 0   
 412 H Braintree              MA 1  South   ( 9-10, 80.2)    17- 4   
 417 N Winchester, MA         MA 2  North   (16- 4, 91.8)     6- 7   
 421 N Dover-Sherborn         MA 3  CenEast (15- 8, 88.9)    12-10   
 424 A Milton HS, MA          MA 2  South   ( 3-15, 68.0)    18- 0   
 426 H Newton North           MA 1  South   (15- 4, 91.3)     8- 9  o
 430 H Melrose                MA 2  North   (18- 2, 95.6)     9- 5   
 503 A Needham                MA 1  South   (13- 7, 91.0)     8-14   
 508 A Walpole                MA 2  CenEast (15- 5, 92.4)     7- 8 2o
 510 H Framingham             MA 1  South   ( 4-13, 74.2)    15- 4   
 517 H Natick                 MA 1  South   (14- 5, 87.6)    12- 8   
 521 H Arlington, MA          MA 2  CenEast ( 5-12, 77.3)    16- 2   
 523 A Weymouth               MA 1  South   ( 9- 9, 81.6)    11- 8   
 527 A Concord-Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (18- 6, 91.5)     9- 7   
 607 A Newton North           MA 1  South   (15- 4, 91.3)    15- 5   
 609 A Duxbury                MA 1  South   (16- 4, 96.1)     9- 8 2o
 612 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (20- 3, 99.9)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Wayland                11- 6       5     0    ++     4.57
   405 A Brookline              13- 1      12    19           0.00
   410 H Norwood                23- 0      23    28           0.00
   412 H Braintree              17- 4      13    13           0.00
   417 N Winchester, MA          6- 7      -1     0          -1.88
   421 N Dover-Sherborn         12-10       2     3          -1.85
   424 A Milton HS, MA          18- 0      18    24           0.00
   426 H Newton North            8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.04
   430 H Melrose                 9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.20
   503 A Needham                 8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.05
   508 A Walpole                 7- 8 2o   -1     0          -0.65
   510 H Framingham             15- 4      11    19           0.00
   517 H Natick                 12- 8       4     5          -1.71
   521 H Arlington, MA          16- 2      14    16           0.00
   523 A Weymouth               11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   527 A Concord-Carlisle        9- 7       2     0           1.40
   607 A Newton North           15- 5      10     0    +++    9.26
   609 A Duxbury                 9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.01
   612 A Boston College HS       5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Needham                 8-14      -6     1    ---   -7.05
   523 A Weymouth               11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00
   426 H Newton North            8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.04
   612 A Boston College HS       5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Melrose                 9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.20
   607 A Newton North           15- 5      10     0    +++    9.26
   402 H Wayland                11- 6       5     0    ++     4.57
   609 A Duxbury                 9- 8 2o    1    -4    ++     5.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.71 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.73 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
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