Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Mike Dowd             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.7988281    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Christian Bros, NJ     NJ    Grp-A   (19- 2, 90.9)     4-16   
 403 H Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (20- 3, 91.1)     1-16   
 405 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 9-11, 73.0)    11- 5   
 410 H West Windsor-PB No     NJ 3  North   ( 2-15, 63.0)    12- 3   
 414 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 8-11, 73.5)     8- 5   
 416 H Ocean Township         NJ 2  South   ( 9- 6, 77.0)     6- 7   
 418 H Holmdel                NJ 2  South   (12- 7, 78.4)     7- 8   
 421 H Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   ( 7-12, 71.4)     7- 4   
 423 H Freehold Township      NJ 4  South   (12- 5, 80.0)     4- 6   
 425 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 2  South   (14-10, 82.8)     6-16   
 428 H Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   (16- 4, 81.8)     7-15   
 502 A Long Branch            NJ 3  South   ( 1-20, 53.4)    14- 1   
 507 H Allentown              NJ 3  South   ( 5-11, 74.3)    12-11   
 508 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-13, 74.0)    11-13   
 510 H Cranford               NJ 2  South   (11- 7, 80.5)     3-12   
 514 H Marlboro               NJ 4  South   ( 3-15, 61.7)    14- 0   
 519 A Don Bosco Prep         NJ    Grp-A   (12- 6, 88.1)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Christian Bros, NJ      4-16     -12   -18           0.00
   403 H Manasquan               1-16     -15   -16           0.00
   405 H St Rose Belmar         11- 5       6     1    ++     4.21
   410 H West Windsor-PB No     12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   414 H Red Bank Catholic       8- 5       3     1           1.71
   416 H Ocean Township          6- 7      -1    -2           1.13
   418 H Holmdel                 7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.55
   421 H Red Bank Regional       7- 4       3     3          -0.39
   423 H Freehold Township       4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.17
   425 A Rumson-Fair Haven       6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   428 H Shore Regional          7-15      -8    -6          -1.05
   502 A Long Branch            14- 1      13    18           0.00
   507 H Allentown              12-11       1     0           0.42
   508 A Morristown Beard       11-13      -2    -1          -0.29
   510 H Cranford                3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.29
   514 H Marlboro               14- 0      14    13           0.00
   519 A Don Bosco Prep          6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Cranford                3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H St Rose Belmar         11- 5       6     1    ++     4.21
   418 H Holmdel                 7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.55
   423 H Freehold Township       4- 6      -2    -5    +      3.17
   519 A Don Bosco Prep          6-14      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.54 Local Power Rank...........   124
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.21 Local SOS Rank.............    88
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   123
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   181
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   136
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/