Conf = MidWacA Region = MA 2 CenWest Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.7538757 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 329 A Littleton, MA MA 3 CenEast (15- 5, 87.8) 7- 8 410 A Westborough MA 2 CenWest ( 3-13, 75.4) 19- 3 412 H Wachusett Regional MA 2 CenWest ( 5-13, 76.6) 11- 3 414 A Minnechaug Regional MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 85.9) 3- 4 417 H Sharon MA 2 CenEast (12- 7, 82.7) 6- 2 421 H St John's, Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (16- 5, 92.1) 5-10 424 H Groton-Dunstable Reg MA 2 CenEast (15- 5, 86.8) 5-11 426 H Nashoba Regional MA 2 CenWest (12- 8, 83.0) 13- 6 428 H Marshfield MA 1 South ( 9- 9, 85.5) 4- 7 501 A Algonquin MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 89.0) 8-13 503 H Grafton, MA MA 3 CenWest (17- 6, 87.6) 13- 7 504 A Tantasqua Regional MA 2 CenWest (11- 8, 81.5) 3- 4 508 H Westborough MA 2 CenWest ( 3-13, 75.4) 12- 4 511 A Leominster MA 2 CenWest ( 9-10, 79.0) 13- 2 514 A Wachusett Regional MA 2 CenWest ( 5-13, 76.6) 12- 4 517 A Groton-Dunstable Reg MA 2 CenEast (15- 5, 86.8) 7- 5 521 H Algonquin MA 2 CenWest (14- 6, 89.0) 13- 7 528 H Westfield, MA MA 2 CenWest (13- 7, 87.2) 12- 9 605 N Tantasqua Regional MA 2 CenWest (11- 8, 81.5) 11- 7 607 N St John's, Shrewsbury MA 2 CenWest (16- 5, 92.1) 4- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Littleton, MA 7- 8 -1 -1 0.17 410 A Westborough 19- 3 16 11 0.00 412 H Wachusett Regional 11- 3 8 11 - -2.00 414 A Minnechaug Regional 3- 4 -1 0 -1.71 417 H Sharon 6- 2 4 5 -1.15 421 H St John's, Shrewsbury 5-10 -5 -4 -0.76 424 H Groton-Dunstable Reg 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.05 426 H Nashoba Regional 13- 6 7 4 + 2.07 428 H Marshfield 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.39 501 A Algonquin 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.57 503 H Grafton, MA 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.71 504 A Tantasqua Regional 3- 4 -1 5 --- -6.15 508 H Westborough 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00 511 A Leominster 13- 2 11 7 + 2.36 514 A Wachusett Regional 12- 4 8 9 -1.95 517 A Groton-Dunstable Reg 7- 5 2 0 + 2.25 521 H Algonquin 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.13 528 H Westfield, MA 12- 9 3 0 + 2.31 605 N Tantasqua Regional 11- 7 4 5 -1.80 607 N St John's, Shrewsbury 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.89UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Groton-Dunstable Reg 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.05 504 A Tantasqua Regional 3- 4 -1 5 --- -6.15 428 H Marshfield 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.39 412 H Wachusett Regional 11- 3 8 11 - -2.00 501 A Algonquin 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.57 508 H Westborough 12- 4 8 12 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 521 H Algonquin 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.13 503 H Grafton, MA 13- 7 6 0 ++ 5.71 426 H Nashoba Regional 13- 6 7 4 + 2.07 511 A Leominster 13- 2 11 7 + 2.36 517 A Groton-Dunstable Reg 7- 5 2 0 + 2.25 528 H Westfield, MA 12- 9 3 0 + 2.31 607 N St John's, Shrewsbury 4- 5 -1 -4 + 3.89/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.25 Local Power Rank........... 39 Local SOS Rating......... 65.29 Local SOS Rank............. 33 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 46 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 179 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 86 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0