Conf =  Foothills                 Region = NY D  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Andrew Smith          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0775299    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H LaSalle Institute, NY  NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 85.3)    15-14   
 410 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 6- 9, 73.9)    16- 3   
 412 H South Glens Falls      NY C  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 80.3)    21- 6   
 417 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 2, 94.9)     7-10   
 419 H Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 2-13, 68.8)    17- 3   
 421 H Averill Park           NY C  Sec 2   ( 2-15, 67.3)    21- 1   
 424 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-14, 70.9)    23- 6   
 428 A Cambridge Central, NY  NY D  Sec 2   (10- 5, 82.1)    16- 8   
 430 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (11- 9, 85.6)    13-11   
 501 A South Glens Falls      NY C  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 80.3)    11- 6   
 503 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (16- 2, 94.9)     8-13   
 505 A Johnstown, NY          NY D  Sec 2   (11- 6, 78.6)    12- 7   
 508 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 2-13, 68.8)    13- 4   
 510 A Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-14, 70.9)    10- 4   
 515 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (11- 9, 85.6)     9-10   
 517 H Lansingburgh           NY C  Sec 2   ( 1-14, 61.2)    20- 2   
 523 H Cambridge Central, NY  NY D  Sec 2   (10- 5, 82.1)    12- 5   
 526 N Greenwich Central      NY D  Sec 2   (14- 2, 87.0)    12-11   
 530 N O'Neill                NY D  Sec 9   (12- 4, 95.8)     8- 7   
 602 N Pleasantville          NY D  Sec 1   (21- 1, 97.7)     5-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H LaSalle Institute, NY  15-14       1     5    --    -4.14
   410 H Schenectady            16- 3      13    16           0.00
   412 H South Glens Falls      21- 6      15    10           0.00
   417 H Queensbury              7-10      -3    -4           1.46
   419 H Amsterdam              17- 3      14    21           0.00
   421 H Averill Park           21- 1      20    23           0.00
   424 H Scotia-Glenville       23- 6      17    19           0.00
   428 A Cambridge Central, NY  16- 8       8     6           1.42
   430 H Glens Falls            13-11       2     4    -     -2.89
   501 A South Glens Falls      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.36
   503 A Queensbury              8-13      -5    -6           1.27
   505 A Johnstown, NY          12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   508 A Amsterdam              13- 4       9    19          -1.00
   510 A Scotia-Glenville       10- 4       6    17    --    -4.00
   515 A Glens Falls             9-10      -1     3    --    -4.08
   517 H Lansingburgh           20- 2      18    29           0.00
   523 H Cambridge Central, NY  12- 5       7     8          -1.40
   526 N Greenwich Central      12-11       1     2          -1.55
   530 N O'Neill                 8- 7       1    -6          n/a  
   602 N Pleasantville           5-21     -16    -8          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H LaSalle Institute, NY  15-14       1     5    --    -4.14
   505 A Johnstown, NY          12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   510 A Scotia-Glenville       10- 4       6    17    --    -4.00
   515 A Glens Falls             9-10      -1     3    --    -4.08
   430 H Glens Falls            13-11       2     4    -     -2.89
   501 A South Glens Falls      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.36

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 N O'Neill                 8- 7       1    -6    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.57 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.11 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/