Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Black Knights        Coach  =   Mike Nazzaro          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.5278473    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Watertown, CT          CT M          ( 7-11, 66.0)     5- 1   
 403 A Stratford, CT          CT M          ( 6-10, 71.2)     8- 6   
 405 H Staples                CT L          (11- 6, 88.3)     3-19   
 407 H Wilton                 CT L          (13- 7, 90.8)     1-16   
 410 A Trumbull               CT L          (12- 6, 87.5)     2-15   
 412 A Greenwich HS           CT L          ( 8-11, 85.4)     3-15   
 417 A Brien McMahon          CT L          ( 5-11, 72.2)     5- 6   
 421 A Ridgefield             CT L          (16- 5, 95.1)     2-22   
 425 A Fairfield Ludlowe      CT L          (11- 8, 83.3)     5-14   
 428 H Bethel, CT             CT M          ( 7-11, 72.6)     7- 5   
 501 H Danbury                CT L          ( 8- 9, 76.5)     3- 6   
 503 H Norwalk                CT L          ( 4-12, 71.0)     8- 7  o
 508 A Fairfield Warde        CT L          ( 8- 9, 80.8)     4-18   
 512 H Westhill, CT           CT L          ( 2-13, 66.6)     3- 6   
 516 H Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 6-10, 71.4)     8- 7   
 519 H Notre Dame, Fairfield  CT S          ( 2-14, 61.7)    14- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Watertown, CT           5- 1       4     6    -     -2.16
   403 A Stratford, CT           8- 6       2    -1    +      3.06
   405 H Staples                 3-19     -16   -16           0.00
   407 H Wilton                  1-16     -15   -18           0.00
   410 A Trumbull                2-15     -13   -17           0.00
   412 A Greenwich HS            3-15     -12   -15           0.00
   417 A Brien McMahon           5- 6      -1    -2           1.11
   421 A Ridgefield              2-22     -20   -24           0.00
   425 A Fairfield Ludlowe       5-14      -9   -13           1.00
   428 H Bethel, CT              7- 5       2     0    +      2.53
   501 H Danbury                 3- 6      -3    -4           1.37
   503 H Norwalk                 8- 7  o    1     1          -0.14
   508 A Fairfield Warde         4-18     -14   -10           0.00
   512 H Westhill, CT            3- 6      -3     5    ---   -8.51
   516 H Bunnell-Stratford       8- 7       1     0           0.26
   519 H Notre Dame, Fairfield  14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 H Westhill, CT            3- 6      -3     5    ---   -8.51
   519 H Notre Dame, Fairfield  14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   331 H Watertown, CT           5- 1       4     6    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Stratford, CT           8- 6       2    -1    +      3.06
   428 H Bethel, CT              7- 5       2     0    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.13 Local Power Rank...........    59
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.46 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    81
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    50
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/