Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Nick Warhola          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.1157455    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Westerly               RI 2  South   ( 0-15, 58.2)    10- 3   
 405 H Ledyard                CT S          ( 0-16, 47.7)    15- 0   
 407 A Waterford              CT M          (16- 5, 81.7)     1-14   
 412 H Fitch, Groton          CT M          (11- 7, 73.6)    12-11  o
 414 H Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 4-12, 60.3)     4- 0   
 419 H East Lyme              CT M          (13- 8, 78.1)     4-15   
 424 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 6-10, 66.8)     8-10   
 428 A Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 6, 72.5)     8-10   
 501 A Montville, CT          CT S          ( 7-10, 63.8)     8- 5   
 503 A Bacon Academy          CT S          (12- 7, 76.3)     7-11   
 508 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 6-10, 64.1)     7- 5   
 510 H Waterford              CT M          (16- 5, 81.7)     2-12   
 516 A Fitch, Groton          CT M          (11- 7, 73.6)     2-17   
 517 H Griswold               CT S          ( 2-13, 54.8)    17- 2   
 519 A St Bernard-Wheeler     CT S          (14- 4, 72.7)    12-16   
 521 H Xavier, CT             CT L          (10- 9, 81.8)     3-16   
 530 A Somers, CT             CT S          (18- 3, 86.4)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Westerly               10- 3       7     9          n/a  
   405 H Ledyard                15- 0      15    20           0.00
   407 A Waterford               1-14     -13   -15           0.00
   412 H Fitch, Groton          12-11  o    1    -5    +++    6.34
   414 H Old Saybrook            4- 0       4     7    -     -3.99
   419 H East Lyme               4-15     -11    -9          -0.15
   424 A Norwich Free Academy    8-10      -2     0          -1.53
   428 A Old Lyme                8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.17
   501 A Montville, CT           8- 5       3     2           0.51
   503 A Bacon Academy           7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.98
   508 A Woodstock Academy       7- 5       2     2          -0.22
   510 H Waterford               2-12     -10   -13           0.00
   516 A Fitch, Groton           2-17     -15    -7    -     -2.67
   517 H Griswold               17- 2      15    13           0.00
   519 A St Bernard-Wheeler     12-16      -4    -6    +      2.41
   521 H Xavier, CT              3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   530 A Somers, CT              4-16     -12   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Westerly               10- 3       7     9    -          
   414 H Old Saybrook            4- 0       4     7    -     -3.99
   516 A Fitch, Groton           2-17     -15    -7    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Fitch, Groton          12-11  o    1    -5    +++    6.34
   428 A Old Lyme                8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.17
   503 A Bacon Academy           7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.98
   519 A St Bernard-Wheeler     12-16      -4    -6    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.28 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 43.05 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    57
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    82
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.7
/