Region = NY LI AAA-AA           
   Nickname = Y Bayhawks             Coach  =   Tom Rooney            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4992981    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Roslyn                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 7- 8, 77.9)    18-10   
 324 A Kennedy Catholic, NY   NY NY A       ( 9- 9, 73.7)    25-13   
 326 A Iona Prep              NY NY AAA-AA  (15- 6, 91.4)     5-16   
 405 A Archbishop Stepinac    NY NY AAA-AA  (14- 6, 87.8)     7-13   
 409 A Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 8- 9, 81.7)    16-11   
 411 A Plainview JFK          NY A  Sec 8   ( 8- 8, 79.5)    16- 7   
 413 H Fordham Prep           NY NY AAA-AA  (12- 4, 90.9)     9-12   
 416 A Kellenberg Memorial    NY LI AAA-AA  ( 9- 9, 85.2)     7-15   
 417 H St Mary's, Manhasset   NY NY A       ( 5-10, 66.0)    19- 4   
 424 H St John Baptist, NY    NY LI AAA-AA  ( 2- 9, 75.2)    13- 7   
 426 H Holy Trinity, NY       NY NY A       ( 7- 8, 72.8)    16- 8   
 428 A Tappan Zee             NY B  Sec 1   (10- 7, 83.2)    10- 6   
 430 H Long Island Lutheran   NY    PSAA    (10- 8, 81.3)    16- 3   
 501 H St Anthony's, NY       NY LI AAA-AA  (16- 5, 97.7)     5-22   
 502 A Chaminade. NY          NY LI AAA-AA  (17- 3, 99.9)     3-19   
 505 H Oyster Bay             NY D  Sec 8   ( 4-12, 76.5)    16-10   
 508 H St John Baptist, NY    NY LI AAA-AA  ( 2- 9, 75.2)    14- 7   
 510 A St Anthony's, NY       NY LI AAA-AA  (16- 5, 97.7)     9-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Roslyn                 18-10       8     5          n/a  
   324 A Kennedy Catholic, NY   25-13      12     9           0.97
   326 A Iona Prep               5-16     -11    -8          -1.34
   405 A Archbishop Stepinac     7-13      -6    -5          -0.90
   409 A Locust Valley          16-11       5     1          n/a  
   411 A Plainview JFK          16- 7       9     3          n/a  
   413 H Fordham Prep            9-12      -3    -5    +      2.23
   416 A Kellenberg Memorial     7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.55
   417 H St Mary's, Manhasset   19- 4      15    19           0.00
   424 H St John Baptist, NY    13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   426 H Holy Trinity, NY       16- 8       8    12    -     -2.00
   428 A Tappan Zee             10- 6       4     0          n/a  
   430 H Long Island Lutheran   16- 3      13     3          n/a  
   501 H St Anthony's, NY        5-22     -17   -12           0.00
   502 A Chaminade. NY           3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   505 H Oyster Bay             16-10       6     8          n/a  
   508 H St John Baptist, NY    14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   510 A St Anthony's, NY        9-17      -8   -14    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Kellenberg Memorial     7-15      -8    -2    --    -5.55
   424 H St John Baptist, NY    13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   426 H Holy Trinity, NY       16- 8       8    12    -     -2.00
   505 H Oyster Bay             16-10       6     8    -          
   508 H St John Baptist, NY    14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Long Island Lutheran   16- 3      13     3    +++        
   411 A Plainview JFK          16- 7       9     3    ++         
   428 A Tappan Zee             10- 6       4     0    ++         
   320 A Roslyn                 18-10       8     5    +          
   409 A Locust Valley          16-11       5     1    +          
   413 H Fordham Prep            9-12      -3    -5    +      2.23
   510 A St Anthony's, NY        9-17      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.19 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.20 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/