Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Warriors             Coach  =   Doug Hink             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.7596741    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 H Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 8, 77.6)     5- 7   
 315 H Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 1-11, 68.3)    11- 5   
 323 A Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4-10, 69.5)    15- 0   
 327 H Voyager Academy        NC    Conf-08 ( 1- 9, 61.5)    14- 0   
 405 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5- 7, 73.6)    14- 1   
 410 A North Raleigh Christia NC 1  NCISAA  ( 9- 6, 81.8)     7-12   
 417 A Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 1-11, 68.3)    12- 7   
 419 H Durham Academy         NC 1  NCISAA  (12- 4, 92.8)     1-15   
 420 N Davidson Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5-12, 69.4)     7- 1   
 426 A Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 5- 7, 73.6)     7- 6   
 503 H Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 4-10, 69.5)    16- 4   
 504 H North Raleigh Christia NC 1  NCISAA  ( 9- 6, 81.8)     5- 7   
 508 A Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 8, 89.8)     2-11   
 512 A Asheville School       NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 6, 78.2)     7- 4   
 515 A Southlake Christian    NC 2  NCISAA  (13- 4, 87.4)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Forsyth Cou Day         5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.43
   315 H Cary Academy           11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   323 A Parrott Academy        15- 0      15     9           0.50
   327 H Voyager Academy        14- 0      14    18          n/a  
   405 H Cary Christian         14- 1      13     6    +      3.54
   410 A North Raleigh Christia  7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.26
   417 A Cary Academy           12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   419 H Durham Academy          1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   420 N Davidson Day            7- 1       6    10    --    -4.00
   426 A Cary Christian          7- 6       1     5    --    -4.47
   503 H Parrott Academy        16- 4      12    10           0.00
   504 H North Raleigh Christia  5- 7      -2    -1          -0.25
   508 A Ravenscroft School      2-11      -9   -10           1.00
   512 A Asheville School        7- 4       3     0    +      2.17
   515 A Southlake Christian     4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Forsyth Cou Day         5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.43
   315 H Cary Academy           11- 5       6    11    --    -4.00
   417 A Cary Academy           12- 7       5    10    --    -5.00
   420 N Davidson Day            7- 1       6    10    --    -4.00
   426 A Cary Christian          7- 6       1     5    --    -4.47
   410 A North Raleigh Christia  7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Southlake Christian     4- 8      -4    -8    ++     4.33
   405 H Cary Christian         14- 1      13     6    +      3.54
   512 A Asheville School        7- 4       3     0    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.54 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.95 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/