Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-B            
   Nickname = J Purple Roses         Coach  =   Kevin Preston         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.9148331    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Red Bank Regional      NJ 2  South   ( 7-12, 71.4)     5- 8   
 405 A St John Vianney        NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-10, 73.5)     5-11   
 407 H Wall Township          NJ 2  South   (14- 5, 84.6)     3-17   
 411 H Mater Dei Prep, NJ     NJ    Grp-B   ( 6- 8, 63.9)    16- 3   
 413 A Holmdel                NJ 2  South   (12- 7, 78.4)     3- 9   
 414 A Manasquan              NJ 1  South   (20- 3, 91.1)     2-17   
 416 A Brick Township         NJ 3  South   (10- 9, 74.7)     6-11   
 418 H Barnegat Township      NJ 1  South   ( 1-14, 58.5)    16- 3   
 419 H Jackson Memorial       NJ 3  South   ( 9- 6, 75.9)     7-12   
 421 A Point Pleasant Boro    NJ 1  South   ( 6-12, 65.8)    11- 5   
 423 H Shore Regional         NJ 1  South   (16- 4, 81.8)     4- 9   
 426 A Jackson Liberty        NJ 2  South   ( 4-14, 69.8)    11-10  o
 428 A Lacey Township         NJ 2  South   ( 9- 7, 77.5)    14-10   
 502 A Donovan Catholic       NJ    Grp-A   ( 3-12, 64.3)    16- 4   
 503 A Christian Bros, NJ     NJ    Grp-A   (19- 2, 90.9)     2-15   
 507 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   ( 8-11, 73.5)     7-10   
 509 A New Egypt              NJ 1  South   ( 7-12, 65.4)     9- 1   
 511 A Long Branch            NJ 3  South   ( 1-20, 53.4)    14- 1   
 521 A Gloucester Catholic    NJ    Grp-B   ( 9- 6, 73.8)    13- 7   
 523 A Bishop Eustace Prep    NJ    Grp-B   (15- 3, 82.2)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Red Bank Regional       5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.89
   405 A St John Vianney         5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.21
   407 H Wall Township           3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   411 H Mater Dei Prep, NJ     16- 3      13    10           0.00
   413 A Holmdel                 3- 9      -6    -6           0.63
   414 A Manasquan               2-17     -15   -19           0.00
   416 A Brick Township          6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.09
   418 H Barnegat Township      16- 3      13    15           0.00
   419 H Jackson Memorial        7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.46
   421 A Point Pleasant Boro    11- 5       6     5           0.06
   423 H Shore Regional          4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.45
   426 A Jackson Liberty        11-10  o    1     1          -0.99
   428 A Lacey Township         14-10       4    -5    +++    9.77
   502 A Donovan Catholic       16- 4      12     7    +      2.51
   503 A Christian Bros, NJ      2-15     -13   -19           0.00
   507 H Red Bank Catholic       7-10      -3     0    -     -3.79
   509 A New Egypt               9- 1       8     6           1.62
   511 A Long Branch            14- 1      13    18           0.00
   521 A Gloucester Catholic    13- 7       6    -2    +++    8.09
   523 A Bishop Eustace Prep     5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Red Bank Regional       5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.89
   405 A St John Vianney         5-11      -6    -1    --    -4.21
   416 A Brick Township          6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.09
   419 H Jackson Memorial        7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.46
   507 H Red Bank Catholic       7-10      -3     0    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Lacey Township         14-10       4    -5    +++    9.77
   521 A Gloucester Catholic    13- 7       6    -2    +++    8.09
   423 H Shore Regional          4- 9      -5    -7    +      2.45
   502 A Donovan Catholic       16- 4      12     7    +      2.51
   523 A Bishop Eustace Prep     5-13      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.05 Local Power Rank...........   133
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.87 Local SOS Rank.............   127
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............   126
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   186
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   151
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/