Conf =  Fitch                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Pirates              Coach  =   Dave Giarusso         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Sparta                 NJ 2  North   (10- 9, 85.9)    19-10   
 405 H West Essex Regional    NJ 2  North   ( 4-13, 77.5)    20- 1   
 407 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ 2  South   (14-10, 82.8)    16- 6   
 409 A Hunterdon Central      NJ 4  North   (15- 7, 90.7)     9- 8  o
 411 H Westfield, NJ          NJ 4  North   (12- 6, 90.4)    17- 8   
 414 A Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (19- 1, 99.9)     9-16   
 416 A Princeton Day School   NJ    Private (10- 5, 87.8)    16- 6   
 419 A Columbia, NJ           NJ 4  North   ( 3-16, 72.4)    18- 1   
 420 A West Morris Central    NJ 3  North   ( 7-12, 83.5)    21- 8   
 424 H Chatham                NJ 2  North   (14- 7, 91.6)     8- 7   
 426 A Montclair              NJ 4  North   ( 3-14, 77.3)    22- 8   
 428 N Andover HS, MA         MA 1  North   (13-10, 87.0)    16- 5   
 501 H West Essex Regional    NJ 2  North   ( 4-13, 77.5)    20- 5   
 503 H Livingston             NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 83.3)    22- 8   
 505 N Caldwell               NJ 1  South   (12- 8, 83.7)    22-11   
 507 A Glen Ridge             NJ 1  South   ( 7- 9, 82.6)    24-10   
 509 H Livingston             NJ 4  North   (10- 8, 83.3)    20- 5   
 512 A Caldwell               NJ 1  South   (12- 8, 83.7)    20- 2   
 514 A Summit, NJ             NJ 2  North   (19- 3, 95.9)     6- 9   
 522 H St Joseph, Montvale    NJ    Grp-A   (14- 6, 85.3)    19- 6   
 525 H Christian Bros, NJ     NJ    Grp-A   (19- 2, 90.9)    15- 3   
 530 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (19- 1, 99.9)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Sparta                 19-10       9    13          -1.00
   405 H West Essex Regional    20- 1      19    22           0.00
   407 A Rumson-Fair Haven      16- 6      10    14           0.00
   409 A Hunterdon Central       9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.39
   411 H Westfield, NJ          17- 8       9     9          -0.26
   414 A Delbarton               9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.15
   416 A Princeton Day School   16- 6      10     9           0.76
   419 A Columbia, NJ           18- 1      17    24           0.00
   420 A West Morris Central    21- 8      13    13           0.00
   424 H Chatham                 8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.07
   426 A Montclair              22- 8      14    19           0.00
   428 N Andover HS, MA         16- 5      11    11          n/a  
   501 H West Essex Regional    20- 5      15    22           0.00
   503 H Livingston             22- 8      14    16           0.00
   505 N Caldwell               22-11      11    14           0.00
   507 A Glen Ridge             24-10      14    14           0.00
   509 H Livingston             20- 5      15    16           0.00
   512 A Caldwell               20- 2      18    13           0.00
   514 A Summit, NJ              6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.12
   522 H St Joseph, Montvale    19- 6      13    14           0.00
   525 H Christian Bros, NJ     15- 3      12     8           1.29
   530 N Delbarton              10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Chatham                 8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.07
   409 A Hunterdon Central       9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.39
   414 A Delbarton               9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.15
   514 A Summit, NJ              6- 9      -3     1    --    -4.12
   530 N Delbarton              10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.34 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.51 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .   42.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.120.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/