Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Larry Collins         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0871429    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 59.2)    18- 0   
 324 A Mount Sinai            NY C  Sec 11  (15- 2, 92.8)     6-15   
 328 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.3)    19- 3   
 403 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.6)     3-13   
 405 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 78.8)    13- 2   
 410 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     4-10   
 412 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 86.5)     6-15   
 414 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 94.7)     4- 5   
 418 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.3)     5-10   
 425 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.5)    16- 7   
 426 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 7- 7, 81.0)     7-13   
 428 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 65.5)    11- 3   
 501 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 69.5)    16- 6   
 504 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.7)     9-10   
 508 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.9)    12-11  o
 510 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.8)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Copiague               18- 0      18    21           0.00
   324 A Mount Sinai             6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   328 H Longwood               19- 3      16     9           0.87
   403 H Connetquot              3-13     -10    -8          -1.85
   405 A Patchogue-Medford      13- 2      11     2    +++    7.97
   410 A Ward Melville           4-10      -6   -19    ++     4.00
   412 A Bay Shore               6-15      -9    -5    -     -3.36
   414 H Smithtown West          4- 5      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   418 H Sachem North            5-10      -5     4    ---   -9.11
   425 H Middle Country         16- 7       9     8           0.00
   426 A Kings Park              7-13      -6     0    --    -5.86
   428 A Brentwood, NY          11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00
   501 H North Babylon          16- 6      10    11           0.00
   504 A Northport               9-10      -1    -2           1.88
   508 A William Floyd          12-11  o    1     2          -1.95
   510 H Commack                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Sachem North            5-10      -5     4    ---   -9.11
   426 A Kings Park              7-13      -6     0    --    -5.86
   412 A Bay Shore               6-15      -9    -5    -     -3.36
   428 A Brentwood, NY          11- 3       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Patchogue-Medford      13- 2      11     2    +++    7.97
   414 H Smithtown West          4- 5      -1   -13    +++    9.00
   410 A Ward Melville           4-10      -6   -19    ++     4.00
   510 H Commack                 7-10      -3    -5    +      2.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.16 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.09 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/