Conf =  Rizk                      Region = NJ 3  North            
   Nickname = J Gaels                Coach  =   Chris Blough          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7485962    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Vernon Township        NJ 2  North   ( 9-11, 78.7)    10- 3   
 331 H West Morris Central    NJ 3  North   ( 7-12, 83.5)     9- 7   
 404 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (14- 7, 91.6)     7-11   
 407 H Kinnelon               NJ 1  North   ( 7-11, 80.3)    13- 3   
 409 H St Peter's Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (13- 6, 86.5)     8- 9  o
 411 A Pope John XXIII, NJ    NJ    Grp-A   ( 7-10, 79.5)     4- 3   
 414 H Morris Knolls          NJ 3  North   (11- 8, 82.5)     8- 1   
 417 A Mount Olive            NJ 3  North   (15- 5, 89.5)     5-10   
 419 A Morristown Beard       NJ    Grp-B   ( 5-13, 74.0)    16- 7   
 421 H Montville, NJ          NJ 2  North   (10- 9, 80.1)    10- 5   
 424 H Randolph, NJ           NJ 3  North   (11- 6, 85.3)     6- 5   
 426 H Madison, NJ            NJ 1  South   (14- 5, 86.8)     4- 7   
 428 A Mendham                NJ 3  North   ( 8- 7, 83.0)     7- 6   
 501 H Morristown             NJ 4  North   ( 4-13, 77.1)    13- 6   
 503 A Chatham                NJ 2  North   (14- 7, 91.6)     5-11   
 505 A Watchung Hills         NJ 4  North   (20- 3, 93.6)     2- 5   
 510 A Glen Rock              NJ 1  North   (13- 8, 83.8)     9- 4   
 512 H New Providence         NJ 1  South   (16- 5, 87.0)     3- 4 4o
 514 H Lenape Valley          NJ 1  North   (14- 8, 79.8)    13- 7   
 516 H Middletown South       NJ 3  North   (15- 4, 79.7)     7- 6  o
 518 A Millburn               NJ 3  North   (17- 4, 86.4)     3- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Vernon Township        10- 3       7     5           1.31
   331 H West Morris Central     9- 7       2     3          -1.50
   404 A Chatham                 7-11      -4    -7    +      3.13
   407 H Kinnelon               13- 3      10     6    +      3.27
   409 H St Peter's Prep         8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.51
   411 A Pope John XXIII, NJ     4- 3       1     4    -     -3.90
   414 H Morris Knolls           8- 1       7     4    +      2.45
   417 A Mount Olive             5-10      -5    -5           0.05
   419 A Morristown Beard       16- 7       9    10          -1.00
   421 H Montville, NJ          10- 5       5     6          -1.93
   424 H Randolph, NJ            6- 5       1     1          -0.67
   426 H Madison, NJ             4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.21
   428 A Mendham                 7- 6       1     1          -0.47
   501 H Morristown             13- 6       7     9    -     -2.91
   503 A Chatham                 5-11      -6    -7           1.13
   505 A Watchung Hills          2- 5      -3    -9    +++    6.16
   510 A Glen Rock               9- 4       5     0    ++     4.33
   512 H New Providence          3- 4 4o   -1     0          -1.03
   514 H Lenape Valley          13- 7       6     7          -1.25
   516 H Middletown South        7- 6  o    1     7    ---   -6.36
   518 A Millburn                3- 6      -3    -1          -1.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Middletown South        7- 6  o    1     7    ---   -6.36
   411 A Pope John XXIII, NJ     4- 3       1     4    -     -3.90
   426 H Madison, NJ             4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.21
   501 H Morristown             13- 6       7     9    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Watchung Hills          2- 5      -3    -9    +++    6.16
   510 A Glen Rock               9- 4       5     0    ++     4.33
   404 A Chatham                 7-11      -4    -7    +      3.13
   407 H Kinnelon               13- 3      10     6    +      3.27
   414 H Morris Knolls           8- 1       7     4    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.72 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.74 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   167
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/