Conf =  Dist-XI                   Region = PA    EPC-E            
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Vincent Arezzi        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.1597443    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Quakertown HS          PA    SubCont ( 5-12, 70.4)     4- 7   
 327 A Emmaus                 PA    EPC-W   (13- 8, 86.1)     0-19   
 329 A Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 0-12, 56.9)    15- 0   
 402 H Central Cath, Allentow PA    EPC-W   (16- 6, 90.6)     2-18   
 405 H Parkland, PA           PA    EPC-W   (20- 4, 94.0)     2-24   
 407 H Liberty, Bethlehem     PA    EPC-E   ( 2-14, 64.0)    12- 6   
 409 H Phillipsburg           NJ 4  North   ( 6-11, 77.3)     2-14   
 410 H Nazareth Area, PA      PA    EPC-E   ( 5-13, 75.0)     2-16   
 412 A Freedom, PA            PA    EPC-E   ( 9- 9, 77.3)     5-15   
 416 H Easton Area, PA        PA    EPC-E   (11- 9, 83.7)     4-18   
 419 A Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 5-13, 65.4)     9-10  o
 425 A Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   ( 7- 9, 79.0)     3-17   
 426 H Freedom, PA            PA    EPC-E   ( 9- 9, 77.3)     4-18   
 428 A Delaware Valley, PA    PA    WVLL    (13- 7, 83.8)     5-21   
 501 A Liberty, Bethlehem     PA    EPC-E   ( 2-14, 64.0)    12-10   
 503 H Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 0-12, 56.9)    14- 7   
 507 H Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 5-13, 65.4)    15- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Quakertown HS           4- 7      -3    -3           0.11
   327 A Emmaus                  0-19     -19   -19           0.00
   329 A Bethlehem Catholic     15- 0      15     9           0.29
   402 H Central Cath, Allentow  2-18     -16   -23           0.00
   405 H Parkland, PA            2-24     -22   -26           0.00
   407 H Liberty, Bethlehem     12- 6       6     3    +      2.75
   409 H Phillipsburg            2-14     -12    -9          n/a  
   410 H Nazareth Area, PA       2-16     -14    -7    -     -2.34
   412 A Freedom, PA             5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   416 H Easton Area, PA         4-18     -14   -16           0.00
   419 A Northampton Area        9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.25
   425 A Saucon Valley           3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   426 H Freedom, PA             4-18     -14    -9          -0.03
   428 A Delaware Valley, PA     5-21     -16   -17          n/a  
   501 A Liberty, Bethlehem     12-10       2     2          -0.60
   503 H Bethlehem Catholic     14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00
   507 H Northampton Area       15- 5      10     1    +++    8.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Nazareth Area, PA       2-16     -14    -7    -     -2.34
   419 A Northampton Area        9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.25
   503 H Bethlehem Catholic     14- 7       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Northampton Area       15- 5      10     1    +++    8.11
   407 H Liberty, Bethlehem     12- 6       6     3    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.97 Local Power Rank...........    77
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.87 Local SOS Rank.............    74
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    76
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    68
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    68
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -19.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/