Conf =  Indep                     Region = NY D  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6049652    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Cathedral Prep, Erie   PA    Dist-X  ( 8-10, 81.5)    17- 2   
 406 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.5)     6- 7  o
 410 A Bath-Haverling         NY D  Sec 5   (11- 7, 81.6)    10- 7   
 414 A Marcellus              NY D  Sec 3   (12- 6, 88.0)     5- 4 2o
 417 H Westhill, NY           NY C  Sec 3   (16- 6, 93.0)     5- 4   
 421 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 96.9)     3- 9   
 424 A Livonia-Avon           NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-11, 70.9)    17- 1   
 428 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 89.6)    10- 5   
 501 H McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 4, 91.0)     4- 5  o
 505 H West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   (12- 9, 85.9)    14- 3   
 510 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.1)     3- 6   
 512 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   (17- 4, 99.9)     5- 4   
 515 A Geneva, NY             NY C  Sec 5   (12- 7, 85.1)     7- 4   
 516 H Marcus Whitman         NY D  Sec 5   ( 6-10, 70.3)    18- 6   
 518 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 6, 92.7)     2-12   
 523 H Waterloo               NY D  Sec 5   ( 3-15, 65.8)    17- 2   
 526 N Bath-Haverling         NY D  Sec 5   (11- 7, 81.6)    12- 4   
 530 N Aquinas Institute, NY  NY D  Sec 5   (11- 8, 84.9)     8- 6   
 602 N Akron                  NY D  Sec 6   (17- 2, 95.7)    12-11  o
 606 N Chenango Forks         NY D  Sec 4   (17- 2, 98.1)    10- 7   
 609 N Pleasantville          NY D  Sec 1   (21- 1, 97.7)     2-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Cathedral Prep, Erie   17- 2      15     7          n/a  
   406 H Canandaigua             6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.60
   410 A Bath-Haverling         10- 7       3     7    --    -4.10
   414 A Marcellus               5- 4 2o    1     0          n/a  
   417 H Westhill, NY            5- 4       1    -3          n/a  
   421 H Webster Thomas          3- 9      -6    -6           0.82
   424 A Livonia-Avon           17- 1      16    17           0.00
   428 A Clarence               10- 5       5     0          n/a  
   501 H McQuaid Jesuit          4- 5  o   -1     0          -0.08
   505 H West Seneca East       14- 3      11     3          n/a  
   510 A Fairport                3- 6      -3    -5    +      2.35
   512 H St Joseph Collegiate    5- 4       1   -10          n/a  
   515 A Geneva, NY              7- 4       3     3          -0.61
   516 H Marcus Whitman         18- 6      12    19           0.00
   518 A Penfield                2-12     -10    -3    ---   -6.10
   523 H Waterloo               17- 2      15    24           0.00
   526 N Bath-Haverling         12- 4       8     7           0.22
   530 N Aquinas Institute, NY   8- 6       2     4    -     -2.50
   602 N Akron                  12-11  o    1    -6          n/a  
   606 N Chenango Forks         10- 7       3    -8          n/a  
   609 N Pleasantville           2-16     -14    -8          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 A Penfield                2-12     -10    -3    ---   -6.10
   406 H Canandaigua             6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.60
   410 A Bath-Haverling         10- 7       3     7    --    -4.10
   530 N Aquinas Institute, NY   8- 6       2     4    -     -2.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H West Seneca East       14- 3      11     3    +++        
   512 H St Joseph Collegiate    5- 4       1   -10    +++        
   602 N Akron                  12-11  o    1    -6    +++        
   606 N Chenango Forks         10- 7       3    -8    +++        
   417 H Westhill, NY            5- 4       1    -3    ++         
   428 A Clarence               10- 5       5     0    ++         
   403 A Cathedral Prep, Erie   17- 2      15     7    +          
   510 A Fairport                3- 6      -3    -5    +      2.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.42 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.46 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/