Conf =  Monroe-1                  Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Schembri         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0671616    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 76.3)    18- 4   
 329 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 87.6)    18-16   
 331 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (18- 3, 99.9)    10-13   
 407 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 87.7)     9- 7   
 410 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 85.5)    11-10   
 412 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   (20- 2, 99.9)     8-11   
 417 A Webster Schroeder      NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 90.8)    10- 4   
 419 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 89.5)     9- 6   
 424 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 96.9)    11-14   
 426 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 81.0)    16- 2   
 501 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 7, 89.2)    10-11  o
 504 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 93.7)     8- 4   
 508 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.5)    11- 3   
 511 H West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   (12- 9, 85.9)    16- 7   
 514 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.1)     3- 8   
 518 H Penn Yan               NY D  Sec 5   (15- 6, 89.4)    12- 2   
 522 H East United            NY A  Sec 5   ( 2- 8, 63.5)    19- 1   
 525 N Greece United          NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 85.4)    13- 5   
 529 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 94.1)     9- 8   
 602 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (17- 3, 95.9)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Rush-Henrietta         18- 4      14    17           0.00
   329 A Brighton, NY           18-16       2     4    -     -2.35
   331 H West Genesee           10-13      -3    -6          n/a  
   407 A West Islip              9- 7       2     4          n/a  
   410 A Hilton                 11-10       1     6    --    -5.51
   412 H Victor                  8-11      -3    -6    +      3.57
   417 A Webster Schroeder      10- 4       6     1    ++     4.84
   419 H Pittsford               9- 6       3     3          -0.83
   424 A Webster Thomas         11-14      -3    -4           1.93
   426 H Churchville-Chili      16- 2      14    12           0.00
   501 A Irondequoit            10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.74
   504 H Orchard Park            8- 4       4     0          n/a  
   508 H Canandaigua            11- 3       8     6           1.16
   511 H West Seneca East       16- 7       9     7          n/a  
   514 A Fairport                3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.88
   518 H Penn Yan               12- 2      10     3    +++    6.10
   522 H East United            19- 1      18    29           0.00
   525 N Greece United          13- 5       8     7           0.76
   529 N Fairport                9- 8       1    -1    +      2.45
   602 N Lancaster, NY           7-11      -4    -3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Hilton                 11-10       1     6    --    -5.51
   329 A Brighton, NY           18-16       2     4    -     -2.35
   407 A West Islip              9- 7       2     4    -          
   501 A Irondequoit            10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.74
   514 A Fairport                3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Penn Yan               12- 2      10     3    +++    6.10
   417 A Webster Schroeder      10- 4       6     1    ++     4.84
   504 H Orchard Park            8- 4       4     0    ++         
   331 H West Genesee           10-13      -3    -6    +          
   412 H Victor                  8-11      -3    -6    +      3.57
   529 N Fairport                9- 8       1    -1    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.65 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.15 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/