Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Tanners              Coach  =   Greg Welch            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9723740    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A North Reading          MA 2  North   (15- 7, 85.3)     6-19   
 407 H Masconomet             MA 2  North   (12- 8, 86.2)     4-14   
 412 A Danvers                MA 2  North   ( 9-10, 76.5)    12-11  o
 414 H Swampscott             MA 3  North   ( 4-14, 68.5)    13- 4   
 417 A Ipswich                MA 3  North   (13- 7, 85.6)     4-12   
 419 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   (15- 6, 86.9)     9-12   
 421 N Merrimack              NH 1          ( 3-13, 72.8)    15- 5   
 424 H Beverly                MA 2  North   ( 7-11, 77.7)    12-11   
 427 H Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 4-14, 73.6)    13- 9   
 430 A Danvers                MA 2  North   ( 9-10, 76.5)     8- 9   
 503 A Marblehead             MA 2  North   (13- 6, 85.7)     8-12   
 505 H Minnechaug Regional    MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 85.9)     6-10   
 507 A Swampscott             MA 3  North   ( 4-14, 68.5)    15- 4   
 510 A Beverly                MA 2  North   ( 7-11, 77.7)     3- 4   
 512 A Silver Lake            MA 1  South   (14- 5, 87.3)     6-13   
 515 A Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 4-14, 73.6)     7- 6   
 518 H Bishop Fenwick         MA 3  North   (12- 7, 78.9)     6- 5   
 521 H Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 77.9)     9- 8   
 530 H Marblehead             MA 2  North   (13- 6, 85.7)     8-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A North Reading           6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.73
   407 H Masconomet              4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.09
   412 A Danvers                12-11  o    1     1          -0.52
   414 H Swampscott             13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   417 A Ipswich                 4-12      -8    -7          -0.42
   419 A Chelmsford              9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.85
   421 N Merrimack              15- 5      10     5          n/a  
   424 H Beverly                12-11       1     1          -0.64
   427 H Gloucester             13- 9       4     5          -1.75
   430 A Danvers                 8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.52
   503 A Marblehead              8-12      -4    -7    +      3.63
   505 H Minnechaug Regional     6-10      -4    -6    +      2.57
   507 A Swampscott             15- 4      11     9           0.45
   510 A Beverly                 3- 4      -1     0          -1.35
   512 A Silver Lake             6-13      -7    -9    +      2.23
   515 A Gloucester              7- 6       1     4    -     -3.46
   518 H Bishop Fenwick          6- 5       1     0           0.59
   521 H Lowell                  9- 8       1     1          -0.47
   530 H Marblehead              8-12      -4    -6    +      2.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A North Reading           6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.73
   407 H Masconomet              4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.09
   430 A Danvers                 8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.52
   515 A Gloucester              7- 6       1     4    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Chelmsford              9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.85
   421 N Merrimack              15- 5      10     5    ++         
   503 A Marblehead              8-12      -4    -7    +      3.63
   505 H Minnechaug Regional     6-10      -4    -6    +      2.57
   512 A Silver Lake             6-13      -7    -9    +      2.23
   530 H Marblehead              8-12      -4    -6    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.67 Local Power Rank...........    99
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.00 Local SOS Rank.............    99
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............   115
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   161
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   145
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
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