Region = VA 5A Reg D            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Josh Wilkinson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2101135    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     ( 9- 7, 87.5)    13- 6   
 316 A Franklin County, VA    VA 6A Reg B   (10- 5, 79.3)    19- 7   
 320 H E.C. Glass             VA 4A Reg D   (21- 0, 96.7)     9-10   
 326 H Jefferson Forest       VA 4A Reg D   ( 8- 5, 79.2)    16- 2   
 414 N Loudoun Valley         VA 4A Reg C   ( 8- 7, 86.1)    14-12   
 418 H Salem, VA              VA 4A Reg D   (12- 6, 80.8)    15- 4   
 420 H Rockbridge County      VA 4A Reg D   ( 8- 7, 73.2)    18- 1   
 424 H Albemarle, VA          VA 5A Reg D   ( 8- 7, 82.7)    13- 6   
 427 A Cave Spring            VA 4A Reg D   ( 8- 7, 75.5)    15- 5   
 428 N Dominion               VA 4A Reg C   (13- 7, 91.4)     9-13   
 501 H Blue Ridge School, VA  VA 1  VIC     (17- 3, 96.1)    13-17   
 503 H Hidden Valley          VA 4A Reg D   ( 9- 8, 75.5)    18- 4   
 509 A Western Albemarle      VA 4A Reg A   (11- 6, 89.0)    13-12   
 521 H Brooke Point           VA 5A Reg D   ( 0-15, 62.7)    24- 8   
 523 H Albemarle, VA          VA 5A Reg D   ( 8- 7, 82.7)     8- 6   
 529 H North Stafford         VA 5A Reg D   (10- 8, 80.3)    18-10   
 605 N Stone Bridge           VA 5A Reg C   (16- 7, 92.1)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Virginia Episcopal     13- 6       7     3          n/a  
   316 A Franklin County, VA    19- 7      12     9           0.58
   320 H E.C. Glass              9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.44
   326 H Jefferson Forest       16- 2      14    12           0.00
   414 N Loudoun Valley         14-12       2     3          -1.96
   418 H Salem, VA              15- 4      11    10           0.00
   420 H Rockbridge County      18- 1      17    18           0.00
   424 H Albemarle, VA          13- 6       7     8          -1.56
   427 A Cave Spring            15- 5      10    13           0.00
   428 N Dominion                9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   501 H Blue Ridge School, VA  13-17      -4    -5          n/a  
   503 H Hidden Valley          18- 4      14    15           0.00
   509 A Western Albemarle      13-12       1     0           1.30
   521 H Brooke Point           24- 8      16    28           0.00
   523 H Albemarle, VA           8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.56
   529 H North Stafford         18-10       8    10    -     -2.00
   605 N Stone Bridge            9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 H Albemarle, VA           8- 6       2     8    ---   -6.56
   428 N Dominion                9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   529 H North Stafford         18-10       8    10    -     -2.00
   605 N Stone Bridge            9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.88

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H E.C. Glass              9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.44
   314 H Virginia Episcopal     13- 6       7     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.01 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.00 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/