Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-02          
   Nickname = C Bears                Coach  =   Steve Hopkinson       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7869949    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 (12- 4, 81.9)    15- 9   
 309 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-05 (12- 4, 90.5)     7- 9   
 314 A Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 ( 1-13, 60.7)    15- 5   
 316 H Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 4- 8, 71.1)    15- 1   
 320 A First Flight           NC    Conf-02 (11- 6, 80.8)    13- 5   
 323 A Northside, NC          NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 8, 74.1)    16- 5   
 327 A J.H. Rose              NC    Conf-02 (12- 4, 81.9)    11- 8   
 329 H First Flight           NC    Conf-02 (11- 6, 80.8)    13-11   
 410 H Croatan                NC    Conf-02 ( 8- 6, 76.6)    18- 8   
 413 H West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 3-12, 60.6)    20- 0   
 417 H Jacksonville           NC    Conf-02 ( 1-13, 60.7)    20- 1   
 419 A West Carteret          NC    Conf-02 ( 3-12, 60.6)    19- 3   
 426 A Havelock               NC    Conf-02 ( 4- 8, 71.1)    18- 3   
 427 H Northside, NC          NC    Conf-02 ( 6- 8, 74.1)    16- 4   
 504 H Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 (11- 6, 86.6)    16-11   
 508 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (17- 2, 93.4)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H J.H. Rose              15- 9       6     7          -1.07
   309 A Holly Springs           7- 9      -2    -3           1.53
   314 A Jacksonville           15- 5      10    26           0.00
   316 H Havelock               15- 1      14    17           0.00
   320 A First Flight           13- 5       8     6           1.81
   323 A Northside, NC          16- 5      11    12           0.00
   327 A J.H. Rose              11- 8       3     5    -     -2.03
   329 H First Flight           13-11       2     8    ---   -6.22
   410 H Croatan                18- 8      10    12           0.00
   413 H West Carteret          20- 0      20    28           0.00
   417 H Jacksonville           20- 1      19    28           0.00
   419 A West Carteret          19- 3      16    26           0.00
   426 A Havelock               18- 3      15    15           0.00
   427 H Northside, NC          16- 4      12    14           0.00
   504 H Wilmington Laney       16-11       5     2    +      2.60
   508 A Wilmington Hoggard      7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H First Flight           13-11       2     8    ---   -6.22
   327 A J.H. Rose              11- 8       3     5    -     -2.03
   508 A Wilmington Hoggard      7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Wilmington Laney       16-11       5     2    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.97 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.03 Local SOS Rank.............    68
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/