Conf =  Shore                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Thunderbirds         Coach  =   David Carpenter       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.9774780    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 4-12, 60.3)    12- 4   
 405 H Valley Regional        CT S          (11- 8, 71.4)    12-10   
 407 A Foran                  CT M          ( 8- 9, 72.5)     7-13   
 411 A Sheehan                CT M          ( 9- 8, 69.3)     7-14   
 413 A Haddam-Killingworth    CT S          ( 6-10, 65.5)     6-11   
 414 H Masuk                  CT M          (11- 7, 79.2)     4-13   
 417 H Morgan School          CT S          ( 9- 9, 69.9)     6-19   
 422 A Cromwell               CT S          ( 1-15, 54.6)    15-11   
 424 H Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 6, 72.5)    14-13  o
 426 H Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 4-12, 60.3)     7- 2   
 501 A Valley Regional        CT S          (11- 8, 71.4)     7-15   
 503 H Haddam-Killingworth    CT S          ( 6-10, 65.5)    10- 8   
 507 A St Paul Catholic, CT   CT S          (18- 2, 82.3)     7-24   
 510 A Morgan School          CT S          ( 9- 9, 69.9)     9-15   
 515 H Cromwell               CT S          ( 1-15, 54.6)    14- 3   
 519 A Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 6, 72.5)    10- 8   
 522 A Old Lyme               CT S          (13- 6, 72.5)     8-12   
 530 A Granby Memorial        CT S          (16- 5, 81.8)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Old Saybrook           12- 4       8     5    +      2.96
   405 H Valley Regional        12-10       2    -4    +++    6.05
   407 A Foran                   7-13      -6    -7           1.18
   411 A Sheehan                 7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.04
   413 A Haddam-Killingworth     6-11      -5     0    --    -4.81
   414 H Masuk                   4-13      -9   -11           1.00
   417 H Morgan School           6-19     -13    -2    ---   -7.41
   422 A Cromwell               15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   424 H Old Lyme               14-13  o    1    -5    +++    6.15
   426 H Old Saybrook            7- 2       5     7    -     -2.03
   501 A Valley Regional         7-15      -8    -6          -1.96
   503 H Haddam-Killingworth    10- 8       2     1           0.20
   507 A St Paul Catholic, CT    7-24     -17   -16           0.00
   510 A Morgan School           9-15      -6    -4          -1.42
   515 H Cromwell               14- 3      11    12           0.00
   519 A Old Lyme               10- 8       2    -7    +++    9.13
   522 A Old Lyme                8-12      -4    -7    +      3.13
   530 A Granby Memorial         6-14      -8   -16    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Morgan School           6-19     -13    -2    ---   -7.41
   422 A Cromwell               15-11       4    10    ---   -6.00
   413 A Haddam-Killingworth     6-11      -5     0    --    -4.81
   411 A Sheehan                 7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.04
   426 H Old Saybrook            7- 2       5     7    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Valley Regional        12-10       2    -4    +++    6.05
   424 H Old Lyme               14-13  o    1    -5    +++    6.15
   519 A Old Lyme               10- 8       2    -7    +++    9.13
   403 A Old Saybrook           12- 4       8     5    +      2.96
   522 A Old Lyme                8-12      -4    -7    +      3.13
   530 A Granby Memorial         6-14      -8   -16    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.33 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 40.81 Local SOS Rank.............    68
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    56
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    72
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/