Conf =  Wheel                     Region = MA 2  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Kyle Cloutier         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6077881    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Amherst-Pelham Reg     MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 73.9)    13- 3   
 410 H Longmeadow             MA 2  CenWest (17- 5, 92.9)     3- 4   
 414 H Shrewsbury             MA 2  CenWest (12- 8, 87.2)     4- 3   
 417 A Westfield, MA          MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 87.2)     3- 6   
 421 A Hopkinton, MA          MA 2  CenEast (11- 8, 89.5)     8- 6   
 424 A Agawam                 MA 2  CenWest ( 6-12, 70.9)    12- 4   
 428 A South Windsor          CT L          ( 4-12, 69.8)    11- 6   
 430 H Westfield, MA          MA 2  CenWest (13- 7, 87.2)    10- 8   
 502 A South Hadley           MA 3  CenWest (10-10, 76.8)    13- 4   
 505 A Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 9-10, 78.7)    10- 6   
 507 A Northampton            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2)     9- 5   
 514 H South Hadley           MA 3  CenWest (10-10, 76.8)    15- 3   
 516 A Pope Francis           MA 3  CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2)    11- 4   
 518 H Northampton            MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.2)     5- 4   
 521 A Longmeadow             MA 2  CenWest (17- 5, 92.9)     3-17   
 523 H Pope Francis           MA 3  CenWest ( 6-12, 73.2)    12- 2   
 525 H Marshfield             MA 1  South   ( 9- 9, 85.5)     5- 7   
 529 A St John's, Shrewsbury  MA 2  CenWest (16- 5, 92.1)     5-13   
 604 H Leominster             MA 2  CenWest ( 9-10, 79.0)     9- 5   
 607 H Marlborough            MA 2  CenWest (15- 6, 86.5)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Amherst-Pelham Reg     13- 3      10    12           0.00
   410 H Longmeadow              3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.34
   414 H Shrewsbury              4- 3       1     0           1.71
   417 A Westfield, MA           3- 6      -3    -1          -1.04
   421 A Hopkinton, MA           8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.25
   424 A Agawam                 12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   428 A South Windsor          11- 6       5    15          n/a  
   430 H Westfield, MA          10- 8       2     0    +      2.67
   502 A South Hadley           13- 4       9     8           0.54
   505 A Peabody                10- 6       4     6    -     -2.57
   507 A Northampton             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.08
   514 H South Hadley           15- 3      12     9           0.24
   516 A Pope Francis           11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   518 H Northampton             5- 4       1     7    ---   -6.38
   521 A Longmeadow              3-17     -14    -7    -     -2.36
   523 H Pope Francis           12- 2      10    13           0.00
   525 H Marshfield              5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.04
   529 A St John's, Shrewsbury   5-13      -8    -6          -1.11
   604 H Leominster              9- 5       4     7    -     -3.58
   607 H Marlborough             9-10  o   -1     0          -1.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Northampton             5- 4       1     7    ---   -6.38
   428 A South Windsor          11- 6       5    15    --         
   424 A Agawam                 12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   505 A Peabody                10- 6       4     6    -     -2.57
   507 A Northampton             9- 5       4     6    -     -2.08
   516 A Pope Francis           11- 4       7    12    -     -3.00
   521 A Longmeadow              3-17     -14    -7    -     -2.36
   525 H Marshfield              5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.04
   604 H Leominster              9- 5       4     7    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Hopkinton, MA           8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.25
   410 H Longmeadow              3- 4      -1    -6    ++     5.34
   430 H Westfield, MA          10- 8       2     0    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.89 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.04 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   129
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/