Region = NY D  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Gordy Luthart         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8328857    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Greece United          NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 85.4)     2-18   
 326 H Salamanca              NY D  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.7)    13-11   
 417 H Wilson Central         NY D  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 66.9)    20- 3   
 419 H Akron                  NY D  Sec 6   (17- 2, 95.7)    14-15  o
 421 H Brockport Central      NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-13, 68.2)    15- 7   
 424 A Gowanda Central        NY D  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 78.9)     8-12   
 426 A Salamanca              NY D  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.7)    19- 7   
 428 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   (10- 8, 81.0)     4-12   
 503 A Wilson Central         NY D  Sec 6   ( 3-10, 66.9)    18- 5   
 505 A Iroquois, NY           NY C  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 82.9)    12-11   
 508 A Akron                  NY D  Sec 6   (17- 2, 95.7)    19-20  o
 510 H Gowanda Central        NY D  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 78.9)    18- 4   
 512 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (10- 6, 83.4)    12-13   
 514 H Gananda Central        NY D  Sec 5   (14- 4, 83.6)    10-15   
 515 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.2)     5-18   
 517 A Lewiston-Porter        NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-10, 71.6)    18- 7   
 523 H Gowanda Central        NY D  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 78.9)    18- 6   
 530 N Akron                  NY D  Sec 6   (17- 2, 95.7)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Greece United           2-18     -16    -1          n/a  
   326 H Salamanca              13-11       2     7    --    -5.71
   417 H Wilson Central         20- 3      17    16           0.00
   419 H Akron                  14-15  o   -1   -12    +++    9.00
   421 H Brockport Central      15- 7       8    15          n/a  
   424 A Gowanda Central         8-12      -4     4    ---   -8.19
   426 A Salamanca              19- 7      12     7    +      2.54
   428 A Amherst Central         4-12      -8     2    ---  -10.16
   503 A Wilson Central         18- 5      13    16           0.00
   505 A Iroquois, NY           12-11       1     0           0.83
   508 A Akron                  19-20  o   -1   -12    +++    9.00
   510 H Gowanda Central        18- 4      14     4    ++     5.56
   512 H East Aurora            12-13      -1     0          -0.92
   514 H Gananda Central        10-15      -5     0          n/a  
   515 A West Seneca West        5-18     -13    -4    --    -5.95
   517 A Lewiston-Porter        18- 7      11    11           0.00
   523 H Gowanda Central        18- 6      12     4    ++     5.56
   530 N Akron                   3-15     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Greece United           2-18     -16    -1    ---        
   424 A Gowanda Central         8-12      -4     4    ---   -8.19
   428 A Amherst Central         4-12      -8     2    ---  -10.16
   326 H Salamanca              13-11       2     7    --    -5.71
   514 H Gananda Central        10-15      -5     0    --         
   515 A West Seneca West        5-18     -13    -4    --    -5.95
   421 H Brockport Central      15- 7       8    15    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 H Akron                  14-15  o   -1   -12    +++    9.00
   508 A Akron                  19-20  o   -1   -12    +++    9.00
   510 H Gowanda Central        18- 4      14     4    ++     5.56
   523 H Gowanda Central        18- 6      12     4    ++     5.56
   426 A Salamanca              19- 7      12     7    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.24 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.82 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/