Region = PA    Dist-X           
   Nickname = A Bulldogs             Coach  =   Nick Mogel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.1971817    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Notre Dame-Cathedral   OH 2  Reg-6   ( 5-10, 66.4)     7- 8  o
 402 H Cathedral Prep, Erie   PA    Dist-X  ( 8-10, 81.5)     2-15   
 405 H Chardon                OH 2  Reg-6   (10- 5, 71.8)     5-10   
 412 A Freeport Area, PA      PA 2A Sec1    (11- 6, 83.4)    12-14   
 416 A Conneaut               PA    Dist-X  ( 0- 1, 52.0)    19- 2   
 419 H Erie-McDowell          PA    Dist-X  ( 7- 8, 81.3)     2-10   
 423 A Fairview, PA           PA    Dist-X  ( 4-11, 69.1)    11-10   
 428 A Poland Seminary        OH 2  Reg-6   ( 5- 8, 65.6)    16- 2   
 502 A Cathedral Prep, Erie   PA    Dist-X  ( 8-10, 81.5)     6-13   
 505 H Butler Area            PA 3A Sec2    (11- 7, 86.3)     3- 9   
 507 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Dist-X  ( 7- 8, 81.3)     4-14   
 510 H Fairview, PA           PA    Dist-X  ( 4-11, 69.1)    10- 9   
 512 H South Fayette          PA 2A Sec2    (10- 7, 81.0)     5- 8   
 517 A Fairview, PA           PA    Dist-X  ( 4-11, 69.1)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Notre Dame-Cathedral    7- 8  o   -1     3          n/a  
   402 H Cathedral Prep, Erie    2-15     -13    -9          -0.18
   405 H Chardon                 5-10      -5     0          n/a  
   412 A Freeport Area, PA      12-14      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   416 A Conneaut               19- 2      17    18           0.00
   419 H Erie-McDowell           2-10      -8    -9           1.69
   423 A Fairview, PA           11-10       1     1          -0.43
   428 A Poland Seminary        16- 2      14     4          n/a  
   502 A Cathedral Prep, Erie    6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   505 H Butler Area             3- 9      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   507 A Erie-McDowell           4-14     -10   -10           0.00
   510 H Fairview, PA           10- 9       1     2          -1.51
   512 H South Fayette           5- 8      -3    -9    +++    6.35
   517 A Fairview, PA            9-13      -4     1    --    -5.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Notre Dame-Cathedral    7- 8  o   -1     3    --         
   405 H Chardon                 5-10      -5     0    --         
   517 A Fairview, PA            9-13      -4     1    --    -5.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Freeport Area, PA      12-14      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   512 H South Fayette           5- 8      -3    -9    +++    6.35
   428 A Poland Seminary        16- 2      14     4    ++         
   505 H Butler Area             3- 9      -6   -14    ++     4.00
   502 A Cathedral Prep, Erie    6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.10 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.85 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    33
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/