Region = VA 4A Reg A            
   Nickname = A Trojans              Coach  =   Greg Barnard          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9774628    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Lloyd C. Bird          VA 5A Reg B   ( 1-10, 56.3)    18- 0   
 323 H Atlee, VA              VA 5A Reg B   (13- 2, 95.2)    10-11  o
 326 H James River            VA 6A Reg B   (12- 5, 84.5)     9- 4   
 328 H Monacan                VA 4A Reg A   ( 3-12, 63.4)    18- 3   
 409 A Cosby                  VA 6A Reg B   (10- 6, 80.4)    13- 5   
 411 H Mills Godwin           VA 5A Reg B   ( 8- 7, 81.8)     4- 3   
 416 A Clover Hill            VA 6A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.5)    15- 4   
 418 A Thomas Dale            VA 6A Reg B   (10- 5, 77.3)    16- 2   
 425 A James River            VA 6A Reg B   (12- 5, 84.5)     7- 8   
 430 A Monacan                VA 4A Reg A   ( 3-12, 63.4)    21- 1   
 502 H Cosby                  VA 6A Reg B   (10- 6, 80.4)     7- 4   
 504 A Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (14- 8, 93.4)     6-16   
 509 H Clover Hill            VA 6A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.5)    17- 6   
 511 A Manchester, VA         VA 5A Reg B   ( 5-10, 67.3)    16- 0   
 523 H Monacan                VA 4A Reg A   ( 3-12, 63.4)    20- 3   
 525 H Hanover, VA            VA 4A Reg A   ( 8- 7, 80.6)     8- 5   
 529 H Western Albemarle      VA 4A Reg A   (11- 6, 89.0)    11- 9   
 601 H Salem, VA              VA 4A Reg D   (12- 6, 80.8)    13-10   
 605 H E.C. Glass             VA 4A Reg D   (21- 0, 96.7)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Lloyd C. Bird          18- 0      18    31           0.00
   323 H Atlee, VA              10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.99
   326 H James River             9- 4       5     3           1.31
   328 H Monacan                18- 3      15    24           0.00
   409 A Cosby                  13- 5       8     5    +      2.77
   411 H Mills Godwin            4- 3       1     6    --    -5.38
   416 A Clover Hill            15- 4      11    13           0.00
   418 A Thomas Dale            16- 2      14     8           1.64
   425 A James River             7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.13
   430 A Monacan                21- 1      20    22           0.00
   502 H Cosby                   7- 4       3     7    --    -4.80
   504 A Collegiate School       6-16     -10    -7          n/a  
   509 H Clover Hill            17- 6      11    15           0.00
   511 A Manchester, VA         16- 0      16    18           0.00
   523 H Monacan                20- 3      17    24           0.00
   525 H Hanover, VA             8- 5       3     7    --    -4.56
   529 H Western Albemarle      11- 9       2     0    +      2.85
   601 H Salem, VA              13-10       3     7    --    -4.35
   605 H E.C. Glass              4-12      -8    -8           0.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Mills Godwin            4- 3       1     6    --    -5.38
   502 H Cosby                   7- 4       3     7    --    -4.80
   525 H Hanover, VA             8- 5       3     7    --    -4.56
   601 H Salem, VA              13-10       3     7    --    -4.35
   425 A James River             7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.13
   504 A Collegiate School       6-16     -10    -7    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Atlee, VA              10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.99
   409 A Cosby                  13- 5       8     5    +      2.77
   529 H Western Albemarle      11- 9       2     0    +      2.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.90 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.94 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/