Conf =  Puget                     Region = WA 4A                  
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   John Lefferts         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1014404    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Curtis, WA             WA 4A         (13- 5, 85.1)     7-10   
 314 A Emerald Ridge          WA 4A         ( 2-16, 65.4)    19- 1   
 317 A Eastside Catholic      WA    Private ( 8- 8, 86.9)     1- 0   
 318 H Kennedy Catholic, WA   WA    Private ( 1-13, 60.9)    18- 1   
 323 H Sumner                 WA 4A         (10- 4, 85.7)    17- 6   
 327 A Rogers, WA             WA 4A         (11- 8, 81.7)    18- 7   
 403 A Auburn Riverside       WA 4A         ( 8- 9, 76.7)    19- 4   
 405 A Sumner                 WA 4A         (10- 4, 85.7)    17-12   
 408 A Beaverton              OR    Metro   ( 1-13, 73.4)     8- 5   
 408 A Lakeridge              OR    Rivers  (17- 7, 95.2)     5-11   
 411 A Olympia, WA            WA 4A         ( 5-11, 67.1)    19- 3   
 417 H Emerald Ridge          WA 4A         ( 2-16, 65.4)    17- 2   
 422 A Graham-Kapowsin        WA 4A         ( 7- 8, 77.6)    19- 5   
 424 A O'Dea                  WA    Private (13- 5, 93.2)    12-15   
 426 H Eastlake, WA           WA 4A         (16- 4, 95.1)     6-18   
 430 H Bellarmine Prep, WA    WA    Private (12- 6, 82.2)    18- 4   
 501 H Rogers, WA             WA 4A         (11- 8, 81.7)    15-14   
 504 A Curtis, WA             WA 4A         (13- 5, 85.1)    12-10   
 511 H Jackson, WA            WA 4A         ( 7- 9, 74.9)    18- 7   
 519 H Wenatchee              WA 4A         (16- 3, 88.1)     9- 5   
 523 H Skyline, WA            WA 4A         (13- 6, 93.1)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Curtis, WA              7-10      -3     4    ---   -7.63
   314 A Emerald Ridge          19- 1      18    23           0.00
   318 H Kennedy Catholic, WA   18- 1      17    28           0.00
   323 H Sumner                 17- 6      11     3    +++    6.01
   327 A Rogers, WA             18- 7      11     6    +      3.07
   403 A Auburn Riverside       19- 4      15    11           0.00
   405 A Sumner                 17-12       5     2    +      2.09
   408 A Beaverton               8- 5       3    15          n/a  
   408 A Lakeridge               5-11      -6    -6          n/a  
   411 A Olympia, WA            19- 3      16    21           0.00
   417 H Emerald Ridge          17- 2      15    24           0.00
   422 A Graham-Kapowsin        19- 5      14    11           0.00
   424 A O'Dea                  12-15      -3    -4           1.62
   426 H Eastlake, WA            6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.56
   430 H Bellarmine Prep, WA    18- 4      14     7    +      2.49
   501 H Rogers, WA             15-14       1     8    ---   -7.00
   504 A Curtis, WA             12-10       2     3          -1.56
   511 H Jackson, WA            18- 7      11    14           0.00
   519 H Wenatchee               9- 5       4     1    +      2.39
   523 H Skyline, WA             5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Curtis, WA              7-10      -3     4    ---   -7.63
   408 A Beaverton               8- 5       3    15    ---        
   501 H Rogers, WA             15-14       1     8    ---   -7.00
   523 H Skyline, WA             5-16     -11    -3    ---   -6.58
   426 H Eastlake, WA            6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Sumner                 17- 6      11     3    +++    6.01
   327 A Rogers, WA             18- 7      11     6    +      3.07
   405 A Sumner                 17-12       5     2    +      2.09
   430 H Bellarmine Prep, WA    18- 4      14     7    +      2.49
   519 H Wenatchee               9- 5       4     1    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.14 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.62 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/