Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Richard Vickroy       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.1560974    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A State College          PA    Mid 1   (12- 7, 82.7)     4- 7   
 329 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (18- 6, 91.2)     4-12   
 331 H Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks-1 (12- 7, 81.2)     7- 8  o
 402 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 3-13, 70.4)     8- 7   
 405 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 81.9)     7- 9   
 410 H Northern York, PA      PA    Mid 1   ( 4-14, 71.4)     8- 3   
 412 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 5-11, 75.1)    11- 6   
 417 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (12- 8, 85.6)     2-14   
 418 H Trinity HS, PA         PA    Mid 1   (19- 3, 90.4)     4-11   
 421 A Dallastown             PA    York    (13- 5, 86.5)     9-10   
 424 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 5-12, 70.7)     7- 4   
 426 H Palmyra, PA            PA    Mid 1   (22- 3, 93.2)     2-10   
 501 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 1-14, 62.5)    14- 5   
 503 A Red Land               PA    Indep   (11- 5, 85.2)     6-14   
 507 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 8, 79.5)     9-11   
 509 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)    12-10   
 514 A Susquehannock          PA    York    (15- 7, 87.5)     3-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A State College           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.79
   329 H Cumberland Valley       4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
   331 H Governor Mifflin        7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.37
   402 A Bishop McDevitt         8- 7       1     5    --    -4.50
   405 A Central Dauphin         7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.97
   410 H Northern York, PA       8- 3       5     6          -1.47
   412 A Chambersburg           11- 6       5     0    ++     4.22
   417 A Hershey                 2-14     -12    -9          -0.32
   418 H Trinity HS, PA          4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   421 A Dallastown              9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   424 A Mechanicsburg           7- 4       3     5    -     -2.20
   426 H Palmyra, PA             2-10      -8   -15    +      2.00
   501 H Central Dauphin East   14- 5       9    15          -1.00
   503 A Red Land                6-14      -8    -9           1.28
   507 A Carlisle                9-11      -2    -3           1.58
   509 A Cedar Crest            12-10       2     0           1.48
   514 A Susquehannock           3-15     -12   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Bishop McDevitt         8- 7       1     5    --    -4.50
   424 A Mechanicsburg           7- 4       3     5    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Dallastown              9-10      -1   -10    +++    9.00
   412 A Chambersburg           11- 6       5     0    ++     4.22
   327 A State College           4- 7      -3    -6    +      3.79
   329 H Cumberland Valley       4-12      -8   -13    +      2.00
   331 H Governor Mifflin        7- 8  o   -1    -3    +      2.37
   405 A Central Dauphin         7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.97
   418 H Trinity HS, PA          4-11      -7   -12    +      3.00
   426 H Palmyra, PA             2-10      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.89 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.51 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/