Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Allen Shissler        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5283813    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 A Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 81.9)     7- 9   
 328 A Lancaster CDS, PA      PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 83.6)     3-12   
 403 H Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (15- 5, 91.1)     2-16   
 406 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 81.0)     4-15   
 411 H Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 65.7)    19- 5   
 413 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (11- 6, 83.7)     3-12   
 417 H Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (25- 1, 99.9)     1-17   
 419 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-10, 74.6)     1-10   
 421 H Wyomissing             PA    Berks-2 ( 2-14, 69.5)    13- 6   
 424 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)     5-14   
 427 A Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)     6-11   
 428 H York Catholic          PA    York    (19- 6, 89.6)     4-18   
 501 H Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 8, 84.8)     3-13   
 504 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 65.8)    14- 3   
 507 A West York              PA    York    ( 8- 8, 76.5)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Central Dauphin         7- 9      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   328 A Lancaster CDS, PA       3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   403 H Hempfield               2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   406 A Ephrata                 4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   411 H Conestoga Valley       19- 5      14     6    +      3.01
   413 A Warwick                 3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   417 H Manheim Township        1-17     -16   -27           0.00
   419 A Lampeter-Strasburg      1-10      -9    -3    --    -5.11
   421 H Wyomissing             13- 6       7     3    +      3.89
   424 A Cedar Crest             5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.29
   427 A Cocalico                6-11      -5    -4          -0.25
   428 H York Catholic           4-18     -14   -17           0.00
   501 H Penn Manor              3-13     -10   -12           0.00
   504 H Garden Spot            14- 3      11     6    +      3.18
   507 A West York               5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Lampeter-Strasburg      1-10      -9    -3    --    -5.11
   424 A Cedar Crest             5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Central Dauphin         7- 9      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   411 H Conestoga Valley       19- 5      14     6    +      3.01
   421 H Wyomissing             13- 6       7     3    +      3.89
   504 H Garden Spot            14- 3      11     6    +      3.18
   507 A West York               5- 7      -2    -5    +      3.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.66 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.49 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/