Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.9973373    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (19- 4, 97.3)     9- 8   
 309 H St Paul's, MD          MD A  MIAA    ( 8- 9, 89.6)     6- 5   
 313 A St John's College HS   DC    WCAC    (12- 4, 94.8)    10-12   
 316 A St Mary's, Annapolis   MD A  MIAA    (11- 6, 92.2)     9- 6   
 323 H Brunswick School, CT   NE 1  West    (16- 1, 99.9)     6-12   
 329 N Haverford School       PA    IAC     (16- 4, 98.9)     9-14   
 331 H Episcopal Academy, PA  PA    IAC     ( 8- 6, 92.2)    11- 5   
 403 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC    Conf-04 (17- 3, 95.6)    12- 6   
 406 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (16- 4, 95.9)    10- 5   
 410 H Northern, Calvert      MD    3A      (18- 2, 97.6)    10- 7   
 413 A St Albans, DC          DC    IAC     ( 9-10, 88.1)     4- 7   
 417 H Robinson, VA           VA 6A Reg C   (19- 3, 96.2)    14- 9   
 420 A Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     ( 9- 9, 90.8)     6- 5   
 424 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (17- 3, 99.9)     8- 9  o
 427 H Episcopal HS, DC       DC    IAC     (11- 8, 89.2)    13- 5   
 501 A St Stephen-St Agnes    DC    IAC     (15- 9, 92.3)     9- 7   
 508 H St Stephen-St Agnes    DC    IAC     (15- 9, 92.3)    13-11   
 511 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (16- 4, 95.9)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Paul VI                 9- 8       1    -5          n/a  
   309 H St Paul's, MD           6- 5       1     4    -     -3.67
   313 A St John's College HS   10-12      -2    -2          n/a  
   316 A St Mary's, Annapolis    9- 6       3     0    +      3.39
   323 H Brunswick School, CT    6-12      -6    -5          n/a  
   329 N Haverford School        9-14      -5    -5          n/a  
   331 H Episcopal Academy, PA  11- 5       6     2          n/a  
   403 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   12- 6       6    -1          n/a  
   406 H Bullis                 10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.64
   410 H Northern, Calvert      10- 7       3    -3          n/a  
   413 A St Albans, DC           4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.68
   417 H Robinson, VA           14- 9       5    -1          n/a  
   420 A Georgetown Prep         6- 5       1     0           0.02
   424 H Gonzaga                 8- 9  o   -1    -6          n/a  
   427 H Episcopal HS, DC       13- 5       8     5    +      2.93
   501 A St Stephen-St Agnes     9- 7       2     0    +      2.44
   508 H St Stephen-St Agnes    13-11       2     1           0.03
   511 H Bullis                  8- 9      -1    -1           0.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A St Albans, DC           4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.68
   309 H St Paul's, MD           6- 5       1     4    -     -3.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Paul VI                 9- 8       1    -5    +++        
   403 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   12- 6       6    -1    +++        
   406 H Bullis                 10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.64
   410 H Northern, Calvert      10- 7       3    -3    +++        
   417 H Robinson, VA           14- 9       5    -1    +++        
   424 H Gonzaga                 8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++         
   316 A St Mary's, Annapolis    9- 6       3     0    +      3.39
   331 H Episcopal Academy, PA  11- 5       6     2    +          
   427 H Episcopal HS, DC       13- 5       8     5    +      2.93
   501 A St Stephen-St Agnes     9- 7       2     0    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.03 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.74 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/