Region = VA 4A Reg B            
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Blake Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8604126    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Rock Ridge             VA 5A Reg C   ( 4-11, 74.7)    12- 9   
 319 A Stonewall Jackson      VA 6A Reg D   ( 6-10, 79.2)    19- 4   
 326 A Charlottesville        VA 4A Reg A   ( 6- 8, 74.2)    14- 8   
 406 H Freedom, South Riding  VA 5A Reg C   (13- 5, 90.9)     4- 9   
 411 H Rock Ridge             VA 5A Reg C   ( 4-11, 74.7)    12- 5   
 413 A Woodgrove              VA 4A Reg C   ( 5-10, 80.3)     7- 5   
 419 A Brentsville            VA 4A Reg B   (11- 5, 85.6)     9-13   
 423 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.4)    20- 4   
 427 A Eastern View           VA 4A Reg B   ( 4- 9, 67.8)    18- 5   
 430 H Fauquier               VA 4A Reg B   (10- 6, 85.9)    10- 9  o
 503 H Liberty, Bealeton      VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 7, 71.2)    15- 1   
 509 H James Monroe, VA       VA 4A Reg B   ( 1-13, 64.9)    16- 3   
 515 A Liberty, Bealeton      VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 7, 71.2)    20- 1   
 521 A Brentsville            VA 4A Reg B   (11- 5, 85.6)    11- 9   
 524 N Fauquier               VA 4A Reg B   (10- 6, 85.9)    17- 9   
 602 H Dominion               VA 4A Reg C   (13- 7, 91.4)     8-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Rock Ridge             12- 9       3    12    ---   -7.00
   319 A Stonewall Jackson      19- 4      15     7    +      2.19
   326 A Charlottesville        14- 8       6    12    --    -4.00
   406 H Freedom, South Riding   4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.75
   411 H Rock Ridge             12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   413 A Woodgrove               7- 5       2     6    --    -4.71
   419 A Brentsville             9-13      -4     1    --    -5.45
   423 H Culpeper County        20- 4      16    17           0.00
   427 A Eastern View           18- 5      13    19           0.00
   430 H Fauquier               10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.75
   503 H Liberty, Bealeton      15- 1      14    18           0.00
   509 H James Monroe, VA       16- 3      13    24           0.00
   515 A Liberty, Bealeton      20- 1      19    15           0.00
   521 A Brentsville            11- 9       2     1           0.55
   524 N Fauquier               17- 9       8     2    ++     5.53
   602 H Dominion                8-22     -14    -1    ---   -8.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Rock Ridge             12- 9       3    12    ---   -7.00
   602 H Dominion                8-22     -14    -1    ---   -8.25
   326 A Charlottesville        14- 8       6    12    --    -4.00
   413 A Woodgrove               7- 5       2     6    --    -4.71
   419 A Brentsville             9-13      -4     1    --    -5.45
   406 H Freedom, South Riding   4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.75
   411 H Rock Ridge             12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   430 H Fauquier               10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 N Fauquier               17- 9       8     2    ++     5.53
   319 A Stonewall Jackson      19- 4      15     7    +      2.19
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.34 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.65 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/