Conf =  Rizk                      Region = NJ 2  North            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Reid            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2656097    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Wayne Valley           NJ 3  North   (14- 4, 84.0)     3- 4  o
 405 H Park Regional          NJ 3  North   (11- 6, 76.8)    11- 5   
 406 H High Point Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 1-15, 58.6)    16- 0   
 409 H Lenape Valley          NJ 1  North   (14- 8, 79.8)     4- 8   
 411 H Warren Hills           NJ 3  North   ( 8- 8, 76.1)    16- 6   
 414 H Phillipsburg           NJ 4  North   ( 6-11, 77.3)    11-10   
 417 H Morris Knolls          NJ 3  North   (11- 8, 82.5)     5- 7   
 419 A Morris Hills           NJ 3  North   ( 9- 8, 74.1)    15- 6   
 421 A North Warren           NJ 1  North   ( 9- 8, 74.4)    19- 8   
 424 H Kittatinny Regional    NJ 1  North   ( 5-11, 70.0)    15- 1   
 426 H West Milford           NJ 2  North   ( 5-14, 65.1)    16- 0   
 430 H Waldwick               NJ 1  North   ( 9- 8, 70.9)    14- 1   
 501 A Boonton                NJ 1  North   ( 8-12, 69.4)    13- 1   
 503 A Verona, NJ             NJ 1  South   ( 6-12, 70.8)     9- 5   
 504 H Governor Livingston    NJ 2  North   ( 4-14, 67.2)    19- 7   
 508 H Newton                 NJ 1  North   ( 5-12, 69.0)    16- 1   
 510 H Hackettstown           NJ 1  North   (10- 8, 78.7)    10- 8   
 512 A Pequannock Township    NJ 1  North   ( 7-12, 73.1)    14- 5   
 514 H Pompton Lakes          NJ 1  North   ( 3-14, 59.1)    15- 0   
 516 H Mahwah                 NJ 2  North   ( 6-12, 77.7)     6- 5   
 519 A Sparta                 NJ 2  North   (10- 9, 85.9)     4-10   
 523 A Vernon Township        NJ 2  North   ( 9-11, 78.7)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Wayne Valley            3- 4  o   -1    -1           0.55
   405 H Park Regional          11- 5       6     8    -     -2.27
   406 H High Point Regional    16- 0      16    26           0.00
   409 H Lenape Valley           4- 8      -4     5    ---   -9.29
   411 H Warren Hills           16- 6      10     8           1.01
   414 H Phillipsburg           11-10       1     7    ---   -6.76
   417 H Morris Knolls           5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.59
   419 A Morris Hills           15- 6       9     8           0.67
   421 A North Warren           19- 8      11     8           1.96
   424 H Kittatinny Regional    15- 1      14    15           0.00
   426 H West Milford           16- 0      16    19           0.00
   430 H Waldwick               14- 1      13    14           0.00
   501 A Boonton                13- 1      12    13           0.00
   503 A Verona, NJ              9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   504 H Governor Livingston    19- 7      12    17           0.00
   508 H Newton                 16- 1      15    16           0.00
   510 H Hackettstown           10- 8       2     6    --    -4.35
   512 A Pequannock Township    14- 5       9     9          -0.35
   514 H Pompton Lakes          15- 0      15    25           0.00
   516 H Mahwah                  6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.40
   519 A Sparta                  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.52
   523 A Vernon Township         7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Lenape Valley           4- 8      -4     5    ---   -9.29
   414 H Phillipsburg           11-10       1     7    ---   -6.76
   503 A Verona, NJ              9- 5       4    11    ---   -6.00
   516 H Mahwah                  6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.40
   417 H Morris Knolls           5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.59
   510 H Hackettstown           10- 8       2     6    --    -4.35
   523 A Vernon Township         7- 8  o   -1     3    --    -4.73
   405 H Park Regional          11- 5       6     8    -     -2.27
   519 A Sparta                  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.76 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.28 Local SOS Rank.............   131
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/