Conf =  Dist-I                    Region = PA    Bicentl          
   Nickname = A Firebirds            Coach  =   Ryan Tessler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6698608    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Harriton               PA    Centrl  ( 7-11, 80.6)    16- 5   
 326 H Abington, PA           PA    SubCont ( 5-11, 74.6)    11- 4   
 329 H Upper Moreland         PA    SubCont ( 1-17, 66.7)    17- 5   
 405 A Germantown Academy     PA    IAC     ( 6- 9, 88.1)     6- 4   
 407 H Pennsbury              PA    SubNat  ( 9- 9, 82.4)     8-11   
 409 A Central Bucks South    PA    SubNat  (11- 7, 85.9)     8- 9   
 411 A Wissahickon            PA    SubCont ( 6-11, 80.6)     8- 2   
 417 H Devon Prep             PA    Bicentl (12- 6, 78.1)    15- 3   
 419 A Neshaminy              PA    SubNat  ( 7-11, 78.7)    15- 4   
 421 H Springfield Twp        PA    SubCont (13- 6, 84.5)     6- 4   
 423 H Interboro              PA    PAC-12  ( 9- 9, 81.1)    13- 4   
 425 A Hatboro-Horsham        PA    SubCont ( 5-13, 78.0)     9- 2   
 430 H St Joseph's Prep       PA    Cath    (10-12, 83.2)    13- 7   
 502 H Council Rock North     PA    SubNat  ( 9-10, 79.9)    16- 9   
 505 A Spring-Ford            PA    PAC-12  (16- 6, 91.0)     8- 9   
 507 N Pope John Paul II, PA  PA    PAC-12  (14- 6, 83.1)    11- 7   
 510 A Haverford HS           PA    Centrl  (10-10, 84.9)     6- 5   
 511 A Ridley                 PA    Centrl  ( 4-12, 76.3)    16- 2   
 515 H Harriton               PA    Centrl  ( 7-11, 80.6)    17-10   
 518 A Strath Haven           PA    Centrl  (19- 6, 93.9)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Harriton               16- 5      11     9           0.21
   326 H Abington, PA           11- 4       7    15    -     -3.00
   329 H Upper Moreland         17- 5      12    23           0.00
   405 A Germantown Academy      6- 4       2     1          n/a  
   407 H Pennsbury               8-11      -3     7    ---  -10.93
   409 A Central Bucks South     8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.83
   411 A Wissahickon             8- 2       6     9    -     -3.16
   417 H Devon Prep             15- 3      12    12           0.00
   419 A Neshaminy              15- 4      11    10           0.00
   421 H Springfield Twp         6- 4       2     5    -     -3.82
   423 H Interboro              13- 4       9     9          -0.26
   425 A Hatboro-Horsham         9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   430 H St Joseph's Prep       13- 7       6     7          -1.18
   502 H Council Rock North     16- 9       7    10    -     -3.00
   505 A Spring-Ford             8- 9      -1    -1           0.24
   507 N Pope John Paul II, PA  11- 7       4     6    -     -2.92
   510 A Haverford HS            6- 5       1     4    -     -3.83
   511 A Ridley                 16- 2      14    13           0.00
   515 H Harriton               17-10       7     9    -     -2.79
   518 A Strath Haven            5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Pennsbury               8-11      -3     7    ---  -10.93
   409 A Central Bucks South     8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.83
   518 A Strath Haven            5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.86
   326 H Abington, PA           11- 4       7    15    -     -3.00
   411 A Wissahickon             8- 2       6     9    -     -3.16
   421 H Springfield Twp         6- 4       2     5    -     -3.82
   425 A Hatboro-Horsham         9- 2       7    11    -     -3.00
   502 H Council Rock North     16- 9       7    10    -     -3.00
   507 N Pope John Paul II, PA  11- 7       4     6    -     -2.92
   510 A Haverford HS            6- 5       1     4    -     -3.83
   515 H Harriton               17-10       7     9    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.05 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.72 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/