Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Paul Benway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7666473    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.3)     8- 3   
 328 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.7)     7- 6   
 403 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 79.6)     8- 4   
 405 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.5)    12- 3   
 407 H Suffern                NY A  Sec 1   (11- 8, 85.9)    18-12   
 410 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 69.5)    14- 3   
 412 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 94.7)     6-11   
 414 N Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.1)    12-10   
 418 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     7- 6   
 421 H Mamaroneck             NY A  Sec 1   (15- 5, 92.5)    10- 4   
 425 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.6)    12-10   
 428 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.9)    21-17   
 501 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.8)     8- 9  o
 504 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 86.5)    12- 7   
 508 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 87.7)     5- 6  o
 510 A Huntington, NY         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 79.1)    16- 6   
 518 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.8)    14- 6   
 524 N Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 94.7)    11-10  o
 530 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     5-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Sachem North            8- 3       5    13    --    -5.00
   328 H Northport               7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.24
   403 A Walt Whitman, NY        8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   405 A Smithtown East         12- 3       9     5    +      3.10
   407 H Suffern                18-12       6     5          n/a  
   410 H North Babylon          14- 3      11    21           0.00
   412 A Smithtown West          6-11      -5    -4          -0.71
   414 N Lindenhurst            12-10       2     8    ---   -6.58
   418 H Ward Melville           7- 6       1    -8    +++    9.92
   421 H Mamaroneck             10- 4       6     0          n/a  
   425 H Connetquot             12-10       2     1           0.63
   428 A Riverhead              21-17       4     6    -     -2.49
   501 H Commack                 8- 9  o   -1     4    --    -5.18
   504 H Bay Shore              12- 7       5     4           0.53
   508 A West Islip              5- 6  o   -1     2    -     -3.68
   510 A Huntington, NY         16- 6      10    11           0.00
   518 H Commack                14- 6       8     4    +      3.82
   524 N Smithtown West         11-10  o    1    -3    ++     4.99
   530 N Ward Melville           5-14      -9    -9           0.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Northport               7- 6       1     7    ---   -6.24
   403 A Walt Whitman, NY        8- 4       4    10    ---   -6.00
   414 N Lindenhurst            12-10       2     8    ---   -6.58
   326 H Sachem North            8- 3       5    13    --    -5.00
   501 H Commack                 8- 9  o   -1     4    --    -5.18
   428 A Riverhead              21-17       4     6    -     -2.49
   508 A West Islip              5- 6  o   -1     2    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Ward Melville           7- 6       1    -8    +++    9.92
   421 H Mamaroneck             10- 4       6     0    +++        
   524 N Smithtown West         11-10  o    1    -3    ++     4.99
   405 A Smithtown East         12- 3       9     5    +      3.10
   518 H Commack                14- 6       8     4    +      3.82
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.68 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.68 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/