Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Matt McAlpine         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5014801    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H York Catholic          PA    York    (19- 6, 89.6)    22-14   
 327 A Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks-1 (20- 4, 92.4)     5-11   
 328 H Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 1-14, 65.8)    19- 3   
 403 A Elizabethtown, PA      PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-12, 71.7)    16- 2   
 405 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)    24-11   
 406 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (12- 8, 85.6)    14-15   
 409 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb (13- 8, 84.8)    21-11   
 411 H Lancaster CDS, PA      PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 83.6)    18- 6   
 416 A Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-10, 75.4)    24-11   
 418 A Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb (10- 8, 81.0)    20- 4   
 421 H Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 8, 79.5)    22- 5   
 425 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (11- 6, 83.7)    20-12   
 430 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (25- 1, 99.9)     8-20   
 502 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 4-10, 74.6)    20- 9   
 504 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 3-14, 65.7)    18- 6   
 505 A Great Valley           PA    ChesMon ( 4-14, 76.8)    14-10   
 508 A Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (11- 6, 83.7)    15- 8   
 510 N Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (25- 1, 99.9)     4-18   
 514 H Exeter Township        PA    Berks-1 ( 8-12, 78.6)    27-14   
 516 A Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (18- 6, 91.2)    12-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H York Catholic          22-14       8     2    ++     5.54
   327 A Wilson West Lawn        5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.75
   328 H Garden Spot            19- 3      16    26           0.00
   403 A Elizabethtown, PA      16- 2      14    18           0.00
   405 H Cocalico               24-11      13    16           0.00
   406 A Hershey                14-15      -1     4    --    -5.54
   409 A Penn Manor             21-11      10     5    ++     4.68
   411 H Lancaster CDS, PA      18- 6      12     8           1.49
   416 A Cedar Crest            24-11      13    14           0.00
   418 A Ephrata                20- 4      16     9           0.86
   421 H Carlisle               22- 5      17    12           0.00
   425 H Warwick                20-12       8     8          -0.42
   430 A Manheim Township        8-20     -12    -9          -0.23
   502 H Lampeter-Strasburg     20- 9      11    17           0.00
   504 A Conestoga Valley       18- 6      12    24           0.00
   505 A Great Valley           14-10       4    13          n/a  
   508 A Warwick                15- 8       7     6           0.56
   510 N Manheim Township        4-18     -14    -8          -1.22
   514 H Exeter Township        27-14      13    13           0.00
   516 A Cumberland Valley      12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Great Valley           14-10       4    13    ---        
   406 A Hershey                14-15      -1     4    --    -5.54
   327 A Wilson West Lawn        5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.75
   516 A Cumberland Valley      12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H York Catholic          22-14       8     2    ++     5.54
   409 A Penn Manor             21-11      10     5    ++     4.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.12 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.27 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    7.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/