Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Hoyas                Coach  =   Scott Urick           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9209137    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 H St John's College HS   DC    WCAC    (12- 4, 94.8)     7- 8   
 309 A Severn                 MD A  MIAA    ( 8- 7, 91.4)    10- 9   
 313 A St Mary's, Annapolis   MD A  MIAA    (11- 6, 92.2)     6- 7   
 316 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (17- 3, 99.9)     7- 6  o
 324 A Durham Academy         NC 1  NCISAA  (12- 4, 92.8)    15-10   
 326 A Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 8, 89.8)    18- 3   
 329 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    ( 7- 8, 88.7)     8-10   
 404 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC    Conf-04 (17- 3, 95.6)     9-10   
 406 A St Albans, DC          DC    IAC     ( 9-10, 88.1)     8- 6   
 408 H Loyola Academy, IL     IL A  Cath    (22- 3, 99.9)     8- 9   
 413 A Episcopal HS, DC       DC    IAC     (11- 8, 89.2)    11- 7   
 420 H Landon                 DC    IAC     (12- 6, 93.0)     5- 6   
 425 H Robinson, VA           VA 6A Reg C   (19- 3, 96.2)    13- 4   
 427 A St Stephen-St Agnes    DC    IAC     (15- 9, 92.3)     6- 5   
 501 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (16- 4, 95.9)     9-10   
 504 H Episcopal HS, DC       DC    IAC     (11- 8, 89.2)    14- 4   
 508 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (16- 4, 95.9)     7-13   
 527 N Culver Military Acad   IS    Indep   (24- 2, 99.9)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H St John's College HS    7- 8      -1    -3          n/a  
   309 A Severn                 10- 9       1    -1    +      2.76
   313 A St Mary's, Annapolis    6- 7      -1    -2           1.58
   316 H Gonzaga                 7- 6  o    1    -8          n/a  
   324 A Durham Academy         15-10       5    -2          n/a  
   326 A Ravenscroft School     18- 3      15     0          n/a  
   329 H Gilman                  8-10      -2     3    --    -5.31
   404 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    9-10      -1    -3          n/a  
   406 A St Albans, DC           8- 6       2     1           0.51
   408 H Loyola Academy, IL      8- 9      -1    -8          n/a  
   413 A Episcopal HS, DC       11- 7       4     0    +      3.54
   420 H Landon                  5- 6      -1     0          -0.02
   425 H Robinson, VA           13- 4       9    -4          n/a  
   427 A St Stephen-St Agnes     6- 5       1    -2    +      3.63
   501 H Bullis                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.83
   504 H Episcopal HS, DC       14- 4      10     2    +++    7.12
   508 A Bullis                  7-13      -6    -6           0.25
   527 N Culver Military Acad    5-10      -5    -9          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Gilman                  8-10      -2     3    --    -5.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Gonzaga                 7- 6  o    1    -8    +++        
   324 A Durham Academy         15-10       5    -2    +++        
   326 A Ravenscroft School     18- 3      15     0    +++        
   408 H Loyola Academy, IL      8- 9      -1    -8    +++        
   425 H Robinson, VA           13- 4       9    -4    +++        
   504 H Episcopal HS, DC       14- 4      10     2    +++    7.12
   527 N Culver Military Acad    5-10      -5    -9    ++         
   307 H St John's College HS    7- 8      -1    -3    +          
   309 A Severn                 10- 9       1    -1    +      2.76
   404 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    9-10      -1    -3    +          
   413 A Episcopal HS, DC       11- 7       4     0    +      3.54
   427 A St Stephen-St Agnes     6- 5       1    -2    +      3.63
   501 H Bullis                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.84 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.02 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/