Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7824707    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H Friends                MD B  MIAA    (16- 3, 99.9)     7- 8   
 309 H The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (17- 5, 93.5)     6- 7   
 315 A Mount St Joseph, MD    MD A  MIAA    ( 6-11, 84.9)     6-12   
 323 A Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (19- 4, 97.3)    10- 8   
 327 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 2-16, 78.5)    13- 7   
 403 H Shaker Heights         OH 1  Reg-2   ( 8-12, 81.2)    17- 4   
 405 H Loyola Academy, IL     IL A  Cath    (22- 3, 99.9)     8- 9   
 407 H Shaker                 NY A  Sec 2   (12- 5, 95.0)     6- 3   
 410 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.9)     8- 7  o
 412 A DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (12- 7, 93.5)    10-16   
 414 H River Hill             MD    2A      ( 8- 8, 84.5)    13- 6   
 416 H Huntingtown            MD    3A      (11- 5, 86.6)    11- 6   
 420 H Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (17- 3, 99.9)     4-17   
 424 A St John's College HS   DC    WCAC    (12- 4, 94.8)     9-12   
 427 A Bel Air                MD    3A      (10- 6, 85.9)     5- 6   
 429 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    ( 6-13, 85.4)    11-12  o
 501 A St John's College HS   DC    WCAC    (12- 4, 94.8)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Friends                 7- 8      -1   -11          n/a  
   309 H The Heights             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.91
   315 A Mount St Joseph, MD     6-12      -6     2          n/a  
   323 A Paul VI                10- 8       2    -9    +++   11.35
   327 H Bishop Ireton          13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   403 H Shaker Heights         17- 4      13     7          n/a  
   405 H Loyola Academy, IL      8- 9      -1   -11          n/a  
   407 H Shaker                  6- 3       3    -6          n/a  
   410 H Bishop O'Connell        8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.30
   412 A DeMatha                10-16      -6    -5          -0.50
   414 H River Hill             13- 6       7     4          n/a  
   416 H Huntingtown            11- 6       5     2          n/a  
   420 H Gonzaga                 4-17     -13   -11           0.00
   424 A St John's College HS    9-12      -3    -6    +      3.88
   427 A Bel Air                 5- 6      -1     1          n/a  
   429 H St Marys Ryken         11-12  o   -1     3    --    -4.21
   501 A St John's College HS    9-12      -3    -6    +      3.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Mount St Joseph, MD     6-12      -6     2    ---        
   327 H Bishop Ireton          13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   429 H St Marys Ryken         11-12  o   -1     3    --    -4.21
   427 A Bel Air                 5- 6      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Friends                 7- 8      -1   -11    +++        
   323 A Paul VI                10- 8       2    -9    +++   11.35
   405 H Loyola Academy, IL      8- 9      -1   -11    +++        
   407 H Shaker                  6- 3       3    -6    +++        
   309 H The Heights             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.91
   403 H Shaker Heights         17- 4      13     7    +          
   410 H Bishop O'Connell        8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.30
   414 H River Hill             13- 6       7     4    +          
   416 H Huntingtown            11- 6       5     2    +          
   424 A St John's College HS    9-12      -3    -6    +      3.88
   501 A St John's College HS    9-12      -3    -6    +      3.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.29 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.59 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/