Conf =  MidMass                   Region = MA 3  CenWest          
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Alan Rotatori         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6365128    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Ipswich                MA 3  North   (13- 7, 85.6)     8- 7  o
 405 H Nipmuc Regional        MA 3  CenWest (16- 5, 87.2)     6- 7   
 410 A Northbridge            MA 3  CenWest ( 4-14, 67.1)    13- 1   
 412 H Auburn, MA             MA 3  CenWest ( 2-16, 63.4)    18- 1   
 418 A Cohasset               MA 3  South   (17- 6, 95.6)     6-13   
 420 H Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest (14- 6, 89.0)     7-15   
 424 H Doherty Memorial       MA 2  CenWest ( 3-15, 68.9)    19- 3   
 426 A Hopedale               MA 3  CenEast (15- 5, 85.6)    10- 5   
 428 A Westborough            MA 2  CenWest ( 3-13, 75.4)    14- 4   
 501 A Tantasqua Regional     MA 2  CenWest (11- 8, 81.5)    10- 4   
 503 A Shrewsbury             MA 2  CenWest (12- 8, 87.2)     7-13   
 508 A Nipmuc Regional        MA 3  CenWest (16- 5, 87.2)     6- 4   
 510 H Northbridge            MA 3  CenWest ( 4-14, 67.1)    17- 6   
 517 A Doherty Memorial       MA 2  CenWest ( 3-15, 68.9)    14- 1   
 522 H Hopedale               MA 3  CenEast (15- 5, 85.6)    12- 6   
 523 H St John's, Shrewsbury  MA 2  CenWest (16- 5, 92.1)     4-10   
 529 H Tantasqua Regional     MA 2  CenWest (11- 8, 81.5)    12- 3   
 530 A Auburn, MA             MA 3  CenWest ( 2-16, 63.4)    16- 1   
 605 H AMSA Charter           MA 3  CenWest (11- 8, 72.4)    13- 3   
 607 A St Bernard's, MA       MA 3  CenWest (18- 2, 87.1)    11- 8   
 612 A East Longmeadow        MA 3  CenWest (18- 2, 82.9)    16- 4   
 614 N Nipmuc Regional        MA 3  CenWest (16- 5, 87.2)     8- 6   
 620 N Dover-Sherborn         MA 3  CenEast (15- 8, 88.9)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Ipswich                 8- 7  o    1     2          -1.65
   405 H Nipmuc Regional         6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.09
   410 A Northbridge            13- 1      12    19           0.00
   412 H Auburn, MA             18- 1      17    24           0.00
   418 A Cohasset                6-13      -7    -8           1.60
   420 H Algonquin               7-15      -8     0    ---   -7.22
   424 H Doherty Memorial       19- 3      16    19           0.00
   426 A Hopedale               10- 5       5     1    +      3.65
   428 A Westborough            14- 4      10    11           0.00
   501 A Tantasqua Regional     10- 4       6     5           0.49
   503 A Shrewsbury              7-13      -6     0    --    -5.71
   508 A Nipmuc Regional         6- 4       2     0    +      2.21
   510 H Northbridge            17- 6      11    21           0.00
   517 A Doherty Memorial       14- 1      13    18           0.00
   522 H Hopedale               12- 6       6     2    +      3.35
   523 H St John's, Shrewsbury   4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   529 H Tantasqua Regional     12- 3       9     6    +      2.20
   530 A Auburn, MA             16- 1      15    23           0.00
   605 H AMSA Charter           13- 3      10    15           0.00
   607 A St Bernard's, MA       11- 8       3     0    +      3.10
   612 A East Longmeadow        16- 4      12     4    ++     5.99
   614 N Nipmuc Regional         8- 6       2     0           1.56
   620 N Dover-Sherborn         11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Algonquin               7-15      -8     0    ---   -7.22
   503 A Shrewsbury              7-13      -6     0    --    -5.71
   405 H Nipmuc Regional         6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.09
   523 H St John's, Shrewsbury   4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.12
   620 N Dover-Sherborn         11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   612 A East Longmeadow        16- 4      12     4    ++     5.99
   426 A Hopedale               10- 5       5     1    +      3.65
   508 A Nipmuc Regional         6- 4       2     0    +      2.21
   522 H Hopedale               12- 6       6     2    +      3.35
   529 H Tantasqua Regional     12- 3       9     6    +      2.20
   607 A St Bernard's, MA       11- 8       3     0    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.61 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.60 Local SOS Rank.............    78
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    87
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
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