Region = VA 4A Reg C            
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Marc Mesmer           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6136169    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Sidwell Friends        DC    MAC     ( 8- 7, 80.9)     4- 6   
 316 H Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A Reg C   ( 6- 9, 77.4)     8- 5   
 403 H Washington-Lee         VA 6A Reg D   ( 4-11, 71.0)    16- 6   
 409 A James Monroe, VA       VA 4A Reg B   ( 1-13, 64.9)    15- 2   
 411 A Eastern View           VA 4A Reg B   ( 4- 9, 67.8)    17- 5   
 416 H Loudoun Valley         VA 4A Reg C   ( 8- 7, 86.1)     7-12   
 418 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.4)    11- 3   
 419 H Heritage, Leesburg     VA 4A Reg C   ( 3-12, 75.7)    14- 8   
 424 A Park View              VA 4A Reg C   ( 3-12, 64.7)    16- 2   
 426 H Dominion               VA 4A Reg C   (13- 7, 91.4)     2-15   
 501 A Loudoun County         VA 4A Reg C   ( 9- 7, 85.6)     4-10   
 503 H Woodgrove              VA 4A Reg C   ( 5-10, 80.3)     8- 9  o
 507 A St John Paul the Great VA 1  Indep   ( 5-11, 81.1)     7- 6   
 508 A Riverside, VA          VA 4A Reg C   (17- 2, 95.7)     3-12   
 515 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A Reg C   ( 8- 7, 86.1)     6- 5   
 522 N Dominion               VA 4A Reg C   (13- 7, 91.4)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Sidwell Friends         4- 6      -2     0          n/a  
   316 H Tuscarora, VA           8- 5       3     5    -     -2.96
   403 H Washington-Lee         16- 6      10    12           0.00
   409 A James Monroe, VA       15- 2      13    15           0.00
   411 A Eastern View           17- 5      12    13           0.00
   416 H Loudoun Valley          7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.30
   418 H Culpeper County        11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   419 H Heritage, Leesburg     14- 8       6     7          -1.62
   424 A Park View              16- 2      14    16           0.00
   426 H Dominion                2-15     -13    -8          -1.98
   501 A Loudoun County          4-10      -6    -4          -1.16
   503 H Woodgrove               8- 9  o   -1     3    --    -4.01
   507 A St John Paul the Great  7- 6       1     0          n/a  
   508 A Riverside, VA           3-12      -9   -14           1.00
   515 A Loudoun Valley          6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.27
   522 N Dominion                8-17      -9    -9           0.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Woodgrove               8- 9  o   -1     3    --    -4.01
   313 A Sidwell Friends         4- 6      -2     0    -          
   316 H Tuscarora, VA           8- 5       3     5    -     -2.96
   416 H Loudoun Valley          7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.30
   418 H Culpeper County        11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Loudoun Valley          6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.07 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.85 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/