Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2260437    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Bacon Academy          CT S          (12- 7, 76.3)     7- 5   
 404 A Hall-West Hartford     CT L          (13- 4, 83.4)     9-10  o
 406 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 3-13, 60.4)    19- 5   
 410 A Rockville-Stafford     CT M          ( 3-13, 59.5)    16- 2   
 412 A Ellington              CT M          (11- 8, 73.2)    15- 9   
 414 A Brien McMahon          CT L          ( 5-11, 72.2)     6- 8   
 418 H Canton, CT             CT S          ( 6-10, 63.7)    16- 0   
 421 H East Catholic          CT S          (16- 4, 86.1)     7- 6   
 424 A Somers, CT             CT S          (18- 3, 86.4)     7-10   
 427 H Ellington              CT M          (11- 8, 73.2)    10- 7   
 428 H Avon, CT               CT M          ( 5-11, 72.0)    13- 6   
 501 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 3-13, 60.4)    17- 2   
 507 H Rockville-Stafford     CT M          ( 3-13, 59.5)    18- 0   
 509 H Tolland                CT S          ( 7- 9, 65.9)    18- 3   
 510 A Canton, CT             CT S          ( 6-10, 63.7)    16- 1   
 514 H Somers, CT             CT S          (18- 3, 86.4)    11-10 2o
 522 H Ellington              CT M          (11- 8, 73.2)    16- 6   
 524 H Somers, CT             CT S          (18- 3, 86.4)     4- 5   
 530 H North Branford         CT S          ( 8-10, 66.3)    14- 6   
 602 H St Bernard-Wheeler     CT S          (14- 4, 72.7)    17- 3   
 606 N St Joseph, Trumbull    CT S          (13- 6, 85.3)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Bacon Academy           7- 5       2     6    --    -4.53
   404 A Hall-West Hartford      9-10  o   -1    -2           1.63
   406 H Suffield HS            19- 5      14    22           0.00
   410 A Rockville-Stafford     16- 2      14    21           0.00
   412 A Ellington              15- 9       6     7          -1.63
   414 A Brien McMahon           6- 8      -2     8    ---  -10.57
   418 H Canton, CT             16- 0      16    19           0.00
   421 H East Catholic           7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.31
   424 A Somers, CT              7-10      -3    -5    +      2.58
   427 H Ellington              10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.61
   428 H Avon, CT               13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   501 A Suffield HS            17- 2      15    20           0.00
   507 H Rockville-Stafford     18- 0      18    23           0.00
   509 H Tolland                18- 3      15    16           0.00
   510 A Canton, CT             16- 1      15    17           0.00
   514 H Somers, CT             11-10 2o    1    -3    ++     4.60
   522 H Ellington              16- 6      10     9           0.39
   524 H Somers, CT              4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.60
   530 H North Branford         14- 6       8    16    -     -2.00
   602 H St Bernard-Wheeler     17- 3      14    10           0.00
   606 N St Joseph, Trumbull     9-14      -5    -3          -1.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Brien McMahon           6- 8      -2     8    ---  -10.57
   427 H Ellington              10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.61
   331 H Bacon Academy           7- 5       2     6    --    -4.53
   428 H Avon, CT               13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   530 H North Branford         14- 6       8    16    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H East Catholic           7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.31
   514 H Somers, CT             11-10 2o    1    -3    ++     4.60
   424 A Somers, CT              7-10      -3    -5    +      2.58
   524 H Somers, CT              4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.81 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.51 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/