Region = VA 5A Reg C            
   Nickname = A Eagles               Coach  =   Warren Danzenbaker    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3691254    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.4)    18- 2   
 316 H Loudoun Valley         VA 4A Reg C   ( 8- 7, 86.1)    11- 7   
 323 A Woodgrove              VA 4A Reg C   ( 5-10, 80.3)    15- 3   
 403 H Heritage, Leesburg     VA 4A Reg C   ( 3-12, 75.7)    17- 4   
 406 A Kettle Run             VA 4A Reg B   (13- 3, 88.3)     9- 4   
 409 A Edison, VA             VA 5A Reg C   (10- 4, 82.9)    17- 6   
 410 H Stonewall Jackson      VA 6A Reg D   ( 6-10, 79.2)    10- 6   
 420 A Tuscarora, VA          VA 5A Reg C   ( 6- 9, 77.4)    11- 3   
 425 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A Reg C   ( 0-15, 69.6)    22- 4   
 426 H Briar Woods            VA 5A Reg C   (22- 1, 99.9)     5- 8   
 501 H Rock Ridge             VA 5A Reg C   ( 4-11, 74.7)    15- 4   
 504 A Stone Bridge           VA 5A Reg C   (16- 7, 92.1)     5- 8   
 508 H Broad Run              VA 5A Reg C   ( 7- 9, 83.3)    11- 4   
 511 A John Champe            VA 5A Reg C   (14- 3, 90.6)     7-12   
 516 N Broad Run              VA 5A Reg C   ( 7- 9, 83.3)     6- 5   
 517 N Briar Woods            VA 5A Reg C   (22- 1, 99.9)     5-14   
 523 N Edison, VA             VA 5A Reg C   (10- 4, 82.9)    16- 5   
 524 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A Reg C   (16- 7, 92.1)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Culpeper County        18- 2      16    19           0.00
   316 H Loudoun Valley         11- 7       4     6    -     -2.09
   323 A Woodgrove              15- 3      12     9           0.76
   403 H Heritage, Leesburg     17- 4      13    16           0.00
   406 A Kettle Run              9- 4       5     1    +      3.75
   409 A Edison, VA             17- 6      11     6    +      3.34
   410 H Stonewall Jackson      10- 6       4    12    ---   -6.00
   420 A Tuscarora, VA          11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   425 A Potomac Falls          22- 4      18    20           0.00
   426 H Briar Woods             5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.75
   501 H Rock Ridge             15- 4      11    17           0.00
   504 A Stone Bridge            5- 8      -3    -2          -0.45
   508 H Broad Run              11- 4       7     8          -1.87
   511 A John Champe             7-12      -5     0    --    -4.00
   516 N Broad Run               6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.59
   517 N Briar Woods             5-14      -9    -9           0.03
   523 N Edison, VA             16- 5      11     7    +      2.06
   524 H Stone Bridge            5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Stonewall Jackson      10- 6       4    12    ---   -6.00
   516 N Broad Run               6- 5       1     7    ---   -6.59
   524 H Stone Bridge            5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.01
   511 A John Champe             7-12      -5     0    --    -4.00
   316 H Loudoun Valley         11- 7       4     6    -     -2.09
   420 A Tuscarora, VA          11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Briar Woods             5- 8      -3    -7    ++     4.75
   406 A Kettle Run              9- 4       5     1    +      3.75
   409 A Edison, VA             17- 6      11     6    +      3.34
   523 N Edison, VA             16- 5      11     7    +      2.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.87 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.78 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/