Region = VA 4A Reg B            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Richard Carpenter     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4297256    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Riverbend              VA 6A Reg B   ( 9- 7, 80.9)     8- 4   
 319 H Osbourn                VA 6A Reg D   ( 0-13, 57.6)    23- 0   
 405 H Liberty, Bealeton      VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 7, 71.2)    14- 2   
 410 A Osbourn Park           VA 6A Reg D   ( 2-11, 68.7)    20- 4   
 413 A Loudoun County         VA 4A Reg C   ( 9- 7, 85.6)    11-12   
 418 H John Champe            VA 5A Reg C   (14- 3, 90.6)     8-16   
 420 H Handley                VA I  Indep   ( 8- 3, 88.0)    13- 6   
 426 H James Monroe, VA       VA 4A Reg B   ( 1-13, 64.9)    21- 4   
 430 A Kettle Run             VA 4A Reg B   (13- 3, 88.3)     9-10  o
 501 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.4)    16- 1   
 504 A Eastern View           VA 4A Reg B   ( 4- 9, 67.8)    21- 4   
 507 A Brentsville            VA 4A Reg B   (11- 5, 85.6)    14-11   
 511 A Dominion               VA 4A Reg C   (13- 7, 91.4)     9-16   
 521 H Culpeper County        VA 4A Reg B   ( 6- 9, 72.4)    20- 6   
 524 N Kettle Run             VA 4A Reg B   (13- 3, 88.3)     9-17   
 601 A Riverside, VA          VA 4A Reg C   (17- 2, 95.7)     8-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Riverbend               8- 4       4     3           0.31
   319 H Osbourn                23- 0      23    29           0.00
   405 H Liberty, Bealeton      14- 2      12    15           0.00
   410 A Osbourn Park           20- 4      16    15           0.00
   413 A Loudoun County         11-12      -1    -1           0.04
   418 H John Champe             8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.57
   420 H Handley                13- 6       7     0    +++    7.90
   426 H James Monroe, VA       21- 4      17    22           0.00
   430 A Kettle Run              9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.75
   501 H Culpeper County        16- 1      15    14           0.00
   504 A Eastern View           21- 4      17    16           0.00
   507 A Brentsville            14-11       3    -1    ++     4.01
   511 A Dominion                9-16      -7    -6          -0.22
   521 H Culpeper County        20- 6      14    14           0.00
   524 N Kettle Run              9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.53
   601 A Riverside, VA           8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H John Champe             8-16      -8    -3    --    -4.57
   524 N Kettle Run              9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Handley                13- 6       7     0    +++    7.90
   507 A Brentsville            14-11       3    -1    ++     4.01
   601 A Riverside, VA           8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   430 A Kettle Run              9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.87 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.09 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    39
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/