Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Jesuits              Coach  =   Graham Niemi          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0509338    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Branford               CT M          (10- 8, 74.3)    21- 4   
 411 N Chaminade. NY          NY LI AAA-AA  (17- 3, 99.9)     5- 9   
 414 A Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (17- 2, 96.4)     5-12   
 417 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-10, 74.5)    18- 1   
 418 H Shelton                CT L          (11- 7, 80.5)    18- 4   
 424 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 9, 86.4)    12-11   
 428 A St Anthony's, NY       NY LI AAA-AA  (16- 5, 97.7)     4-11   
 430 A Xavier, CT             CT L          (10- 9, 81.8)    11- 2   
 502 H Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)    19- 5   
 505 A New Canaan             CT L          (16- 6, 93.3)    11-10   
 507 A East Lyme              CT M          (13- 8, 78.1)    17- 3   
 509 H Notre Dame, West Haven CT M          (12- 8, 83.1)    13- 1   
 512 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (20- 3, 99.9)     8-11   
 514 A North Haven            CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.4)    18- 3   
 516 H Daniel Hand            CT M          (14- 7, 87.8)     6- 9   
 519 N Salesianum School      DE    Cath    (16- 3, 99.9)    10-11   
 522 H Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)    20- 9   
 524 N Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 9, 86.4)    12-10   
 526 H Danbury                CT L          ( 8- 9, 76.5)    16- 4   
 530 A Staples                CT L          (11- 6, 88.3)    11-10  o
 602 A New Canaan             CT L          (16- 6, 93.3)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Branford               21- 4      17    16           0.00
   411 N Chaminade. NY           5- 9      -4    -7          n/a  
   414 A Massapequa              5-12      -7    -5          n/a  
   417 A Amity Regional         18- 1      17    16           0.00
   418 H Shelton                18- 4      14    12           0.00
   424 H Cheshire HS            12-11       1     6    --    -5.93
   428 A St Anthony's, NY        4-11      -7    -6          n/a  
   430 A Xavier, CT             11- 2       9     9          -0.53
   502 H Guilford               19- 5      14     8           1.51
   505 A New Canaan             11-10       1    -2    +      3.01
   507 A East Lyme              17- 3      14    13           0.00
   509 H Notre Dame, West Haven 13- 1      12    10           0.00
   512 H Boston College HS       8-11      -3    -6          n/a  
   514 A North Haven            18- 3      15    12           0.00
   516 H Daniel Hand             6- 9      -3     5    ---   -8.51
   519 N Salesianum School      10-11      -1    -7          n/a  
   522 H Guilford               20- 9      11     8           1.51
   524 N Cheshire HS            12-10       2     5    -     -3.94
   526 H Danbury                16- 4      12    16           0.00
   530 A Staples                11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.02
   602 A New Canaan              7- 9      -2    -2           0.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Daniel Hand             6- 9      -3     5    ---   -8.51
   424 H Cheshire HS            12-11       1     6    --    -5.93
   524 N Cheshire HS            12-10       2     5    -     -3.94
   530 A Staples                11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 N Salesianum School      10-11      -1    -7    +++        
   411 N Chaminade. NY           5- 9      -4    -7    +          
   505 A New Canaan             11-10       1    -2    +      3.01
   512 H Boston College HS       8-11      -3    -6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.33 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.74 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/