Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Stags                Coach  =   Scott Morrison        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5355682    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H St Albans, DC          DC    IAC     ( 9-10, 88.1)    17-16  o
 309 A St Stephen-St Agnes    DC    IAC     (15- 9, 92.3)    12-13   
 314 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 7-10, 86.9)    16- 1   
 316 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.9)     8- 7   
 323 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    ( 6-13, 85.4)     8- 3   
 326 A Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr (11- 7, 92.0)    12- 6   
 327 A Norfolk Academy        VA 1  Tidewtr (19- 4, 99.9)    10-11  o
 329 N Southern AA            MD    2A      ( 9- 9, 84.1)    22- 9   
 331 A Arundel                MD    4A      (10- 6, 89.9)    13- 8   
 403 A Westminster, MD        MD    3A      (18- 1, 98.1)    13-14  o
 410 A St John's College HS   DC    WCAC    (12- 4, 94.8)    13-12  o
 412 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    ( 7-10, 88.3)    16-10   
 416 A The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (17- 5, 93.5)    16- 9   
 417 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 2-16, 78.5)    14- 5   
 419 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (19- 4, 97.3)     7- 9   
 423 H La Salle College HS, P PA    Cath    (19- 5, 94.4)     5-11   
 427 H Quince Orchard         MD    4A      (10- 7, 82.1)    21- 3   
 429 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (17- 3, 99.9)     8-10   
 501 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.9)     3- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H St Albans, DC          17-16  o    1     6          n/a  
   309 A St Stephen-St Agnes    12-13      -1     0          n/a  
   314 A Archbishop Spalding    16- 1      15     5          n/a  
   316 A Bishop O'Connell        8- 7       1     3    -     -2.21
   323 H St Marys Ryken          8- 3       5     8    -     -3.38
   326 A Bishop Sullivan        12- 6       6     1          n/a  
   327 A Norfolk Academy        10-11  o   -1    -6          n/a  
   329 N Southern AA            22- 9      13     9          n/a  
   331 A Arundel                13- 8       5     3          n/a  
   403 A Westminster, MD        13-14  o   -1    -5          n/a  
   410 A St John's College HS   13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.71
   412 H Our Lady-Good Counsel  16-10       6     5           0.50
   416 A The Heights            16- 9       7     0    +++    7.40
   417 A Bishop Ireton          14- 5       9    14          -1.00
   419 H Paul VI                 7- 9      -2    -3           1.52
   423 H La Salle College HS, P  5-11      -6     0          n/a  
   427 H Quince Orchard         21- 3      18    11          n/a  
   429 A Gonzaga                 8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.77
   501 H Bishop O'Connell        3- 7      -4     3    ---   -7.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Bishop O'Connell        3- 7      -4     3    ---   -7.87
   305 H St Albans, DC          17-16  o    1     6    --         
   423 H La Salle College HS, P  5-11      -6     0    --         
   316 A Bishop O'Connell        8- 7       1     3    -     -2.21
   323 H St Marys Ryken          8- 3       5     8    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A The Heights            16- 9       7     0    +++    7.40
   314 A Archbishop Spalding    16- 1      15     5    ++         
   326 A Bishop Sullivan        12- 6       6     1    ++         
   327 A Norfolk Academy        10-11  o   -1    -6    ++         
   403 A Westminster, MD        13-14  o   -1    -5    ++         
   429 A Gonzaga                 8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.77
   410 A St John's College HS   13-12  o    1    -1    +      2.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.46 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.18 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   15.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/