Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 2  North            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Wes Chittick          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2880096    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   ( 6-13, 80.4)     8-13   
 405 H Pentucket              MA 3  North   (15- 6, 84.8)     5-12   
 409 H Woburn Memorial        MA 1  North   ( 9-10, 79.0)     9- 8   
 412 H Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 9-10, 78.7)    11-12  o
 416 H Beverly                MA 2  North   ( 7-11, 77.7)     7- 9   
 419 A Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 4-14, 73.6)     8-11   
 421 A North Reading          MA 2  North   (15- 7, 85.3)     3-19   
 423 H Swampscott             MA 3  North   ( 4-14, 68.5)     8- 3   
 426 A Marblehead             MA 2  North   (13- 6, 85.7)     5-17   
 428 H Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 77.9)    12-11   
 430 H Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 9-10, 78.7)     9- 8   
 503 A Beverly                MA 2  North   ( 7-11, 77.7)     7-11   
 507 H Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 4-14, 73.6)     7- 6   
 510 A Swampscott             MA 3  North   ( 4-14, 68.5)    16- 4   
 514 H Marblehead             MA 2  North   (13- 6, 85.7)     6-13   
 518 H Essex Tech, MA         MA 3  North   (11- 9, 71.0)    12- 5   
 521 A Lynnfield              MA 3  North   ( 4-10, 73.1)    11- 8   
 522 A Triton Regional, MA    MA 3  North   ( 3-15, 69.8)    12-10   
 606 A North Reading          MA 2  North   (15- 7, 85.3)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Malden Catholic         8-13      -5    -3          -1.79
   405 H Pentucket               5-12      -7    -7           0.62
   409 H Woburn Memorial         9- 8       1    -1    +      2.84
   412 H Peabody                11-12  o   -1    -1           0.52
   416 H Beverly                 7- 9      -2     0          -1.47
   419 A Gloucester              8-11      -3     2    --    -5.29
   421 A North Reading           3-19     -16    -9          -0.56
   423 H Swampscott              8- 3       5     8    -     -3.68
   426 A Marblehead              5-17     -12    -9          -0.20
   428 H Lowell                 12-11       1     0           1.70
   430 H Peabody                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.52
   503 A Beverly                 7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.18
   507 H Gloucester              7- 6       1     3    -     -2.58
   510 A Swampscott             16- 4      12     7    +      2.62
   514 H Marblehead              6-13      -7    -8           1.51
   518 H Essex Tech, MA         12- 5       7     6           0.87
   521 A Lynnfield              11- 8       3     2           0.20
   522 A Triton Regional, MA    12-10       2     6    --    -4.05
   606 A North Reading          11-13      -2    -9    +++    7.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Gloucester              8-11      -3     2    --    -5.29
   522 A Triton Regional, MA    12-10       2     6    --    -4.05
   423 H Swampscott              8- 3       5     8    -     -3.68
   503 A Beverly                 7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.18
   507 H Gloucester              7- 6       1     3    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   606 A North Reading          11-13      -2    -9    +++    7.44
   409 H Woburn Memorial         9- 8       1    -1    +      2.84
   430 H Peabody                 9- 8       1    -1    +      2.52
   510 A Swampscott             16- 4      12     7    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.50 Local Power Rank...........   117
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.61 Local SOS Rank.............   133
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   146
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    67
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   135
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
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