Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Tigers               Coach  =   John Orlando          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1225204    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Foran                  CT M          ( 8- 9, 72.5)    13- 4   
 406 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 8- 8, 80.8)     8- 6   
 409 H Amity Regional         CT L          ( 6-10, 74.5)    11- 2   
 416 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 9, 86.4)     9- 8  o
 418 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 3-13, 60.3)    18- 0   
 420 A Glastonbury            CT L          (14- 6, 89.9)     5- 8   
 423 H Xavier, CT             CT L          (10- 9, 81.8)    13-11   
 426 A Weston, CT             CT M          (15- 5, 85.8)     5- 6   
 428 H Joel Barlow            CT M          (13- 8, 84.3)     8- 9   
 430 A Guilford               CT M          (12- 8, 84.8)    11- 5   
 501 H Simsbury               CT L          ( 8-10, 82.3)    15- 3   
 503 H East Lyme              CT M          (13- 8, 78.1)    14- 4   
 507 A Notre Dame, West Haven CT M          (12- 8, 83.1)     8-11   
 509 H North Haven            CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.4)    14- 4   
 514 H Longmeadow             MA 2  CenWest (17- 5, 92.9)     4- 5  o
 516 A Fairfield Prep, CT     CT L          (14- 7, 92.3)     9- 6   
 522 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 9, 86.4)     5- 9   
 530 H Ellington              CT M          (11- 8, 73.2)    18- 3   
 602 A Weston, CT             CT M          (15- 5, 85.8)    11- 4   
 606 N Waterford              CT M          (16- 5, 81.7)    15- 5   
 609 N New Fairfield          CT M          (22- 0, 97.6)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Foran                  13- 4       9    14          -1.00
   406 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 6       2     5    -     -4.00
   409 H Amity Regional         11- 2       9    14          -1.00
   416 A Cheshire HS             9- 8  o    1     0           0.57
   418 H Hamden                 18- 0      18    28           0.00
   420 A Glastonbury             5- 8      -3    -3           0.06
   423 H Xavier, CT             13-11       2     6    --    -5.00
   426 A Weston, CT              5- 6      -1     0          -1.98
   428 H Joel Barlow             8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.46
   430 A Guilford               11- 5       6     1    ++     4.01
   501 H Simsbury               15- 3      12     6    +      3.51
   503 H East Lyme              14- 4      10    10           0.00
   507 A Notre Dame, West Haven  8-11      -3     3    ---   -6.72
   509 H North Haven            14- 4      10    10           0.00
   514 H Longmeadow              4- 5  o   -1    -4          n/a  
   516 A Fairfield Prep, CT      9- 6       3    -5    +++    8.51
   522 H Cheshire HS             5- 9      -4     2    ---   -6.42
   530 H Ellington              18- 3      15    15           0.00
   602 A Weston, CT             11- 4       7     0    +++    6.02
   606 N Waterford              15- 5      10     6    +      3.92
   609 N New Fairfield          11-13      -2    -9    +++    7.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Notre Dame, West Haven  8-11      -3     3    ---   -6.72
   522 H Cheshire HS             5- 9      -4     2    ---   -6.42
   423 H Xavier, CT             13-11       2     6    --    -5.00
   428 H Joel Barlow             8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.46
   406 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 6       2     5    -     -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Fairfield Prep, CT      9- 6       3    -5    +++    8.51
   602 A Weston, CT             11- 4       7     0    +++    6.02
   609 N New Fairfield          11-13      -2    -9    +++    7.82
   430 A Guilford               11- 5       6     1    ++     4.01
   501 H Simsbury               15- 3      12     6    +      3.51
   514 H Longmeadow              4- 5  o   -1    -4    +          
   606 N Waterford              15- 5      10     6    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.81 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.95 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/