Conf = L-1 Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Thunderbirds Coach = Brett JeffaresGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.2763290 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 316 A Islip NY C Sec 11 (19- 2, 94.9) 6- 7 2o 328 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 87.7) 11- 5 403 A Sachem East NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 81.2) 13- 3 405 A Commack NY A Sec 11 (11- 7, 86.8) 13-12 410 H Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 7, 78.8) 15- 4 412 A Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (21- 1, 99.9) 10-13 414 A Middle Country NY A Sec 11 ( 4-12, 72.5) 15- 5 418 H Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (15- 2, 94.7) 9-11 420 H Riverhead NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 9, 83.9) 12-10 425 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A Sec 11 (15- 4, 90.7) 10-12 428 H Sachem North NY A Sec 11 ( 5-10, 77.3) 16- 5 501 H Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 84.5) 15- 7 504 H Huntington, NY NY A Sec 11 ( 6- 9, 79.1) 12- 5 508 A Northport NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 9, 83.7) 11-10 510 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 86.5) 7-11 518 A West Islip NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 87.7) 10- 5 524 N Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (21- 1, 99.9) 8-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Islip 6- 7 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.60 328 H West Islip 11- 5 6 2 + 3.80 403 A Sachem East 13- 3 10 8 1.85 405 A Commack 13-12 1 2 -1.51 410 H Patchogue-Medford 15- 4 11 11 0.00 412 A Ward Melville 10-13 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 414 A Middle Country 15- 5 10 16 0.00 418 H Smithtown West 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.76 420 H Riverhead 12-10 2 6 -- -4.02 425 A Half Hollow Hills East 10-12 -2 -1 -0.63 428 H Sachem North 16- 5 11 12 0.00 501 H Smithtown East 15- 7 8 5 + 2.57 504 H Huntington, NY 12- 5 7 10 - -3.00 508 A Northport 11-10 1 5 -- -4.57 510 A Bay Shore 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.80 518 A West Islip 10- 5 5 1 + 3.40 524 N Ward Melville 8-14 -6 -10 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 A Bay Shore 7-11 -4 2 --- -6.80 420 H Riverhead 12-10 2 6 -- -4.02 508 A Northport 11-10 1 5 -- -4.57 504 H Huntington, NY 12- 5 7 10 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Ward Melville 10-13 -3 -10 +++ 7.00 316 A Islip 6- 7 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.60 524 N Ward Melville 8-14 -6 -10 ++ 4.00 328 H West Islip 11- 5 6 2 + 3.80 418 H Smithtown West 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.76 501 H Smithtown East 15- 7 8 5 + 2.57 518 A West Islip 10- 5 5 1 + 3.40/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.61 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 70.49 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 8.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7