Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Brett Jeffares        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.2763290    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Islip                  NY C  Sec 11  (19- 2, 94.9)     6- 7 2o
 328 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 87.7)    11- 5   
 403 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.2)    13- 3   
 405 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.8)    13-12   
 410 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 78.8)    15- 4   
 412 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)    10-13   
 414 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.5)    15- 5   
 418 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 94.7)     9-11   
 420 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.9)    12-10   
 425 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 90.7)    10-12   
 428 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.3)    16- 5   
 501 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.5)    15- 7   
 504 H Huntington, NY         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 79.1)    12- 5   
 508 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.7)    11-10   
 510 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 86.5)     7-11   
 518 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 87.7)    10- 5   
 524 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     8-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Islip                   6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.60
   328 H West Islip             11- 5       6     2    +      3.80
   403 A Sachem East            13- 3      10     8           1.85
   405 A Commack                13-12       1     2          -1.51
   410 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 4      11    11           0.00
   412 A Ward Melville          10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   414 A Middle Country         15- 5      10    16           0.00
   418 H Smithtown West          9-11      -2    -4    +      2.76
   420 H Riverhead              12-10       2     6    --    -4.02
   425 A Half Hollow Hills East 10-12      -2    -1          -0.63
   428 H Sachem North           16- 5      11    12           0.00
   501 H Smithtown East         15- 7       8     5    +      2.57
   504 H Huntington, NY         12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00
   508 A Northport              11-10       1     5    --    -4.57
   510 A Bay Shore               7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.80
   518 A West Islip             10- 5       5     1    +      3.40
   524 N Ward Melville           8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Bay Shore               7-11      -4     2    ---   -6.80
   420 H Riverhead              12-10       2     6    --    -4.02
   508 A Northport              11-10       1     5    --    -4.57
   504 H Huntington, NY         12- 5       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Ward Melville          10-13      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   316 A Islip                   6- 7 2o   -1    -5    ++     4.60
   524 N Ward Melville           8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   328 H West Islip             11- 5       6     2    +      3.80
   418 H Smithtown West          9-11      -2    -4    +      2.76
   501 H Smithtown East         15- 7       8     5    +      2.57
   518 A West Islip             10- 5       5     1    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.61 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.49 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/