Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Cougars              Coach  =   Scott Bryan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0130920    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Kellenberg Memorial    NY LI AAA-AA  ( 9- 9, 85.2)    10- 7   
 328 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (21- 1, 99.9)     7-10   
 403 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 86.5)    16-13   
 405 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.6)    12-13   
 410 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.9)    10- 9   
 412 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 87.7)     7-12   
 414 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.3)    10- 5   
 417 A Massapequa             NY A  Sec 8   (17- 2, 96.4)     5-12   
 418 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 83.7)     6- 9   
 420 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 72.5)    17- 6   
 425 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.5)    10- 9  o
 428 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 7, 78.8)    15- 5   
 501 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 90.7)     9- 8  o
 503 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.3)    18- 4   
 508 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 2, 94.7)     4-11   
 510 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 81.2)    10- 7   
 515 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 82.1)    16- 5   
 518 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 90.7)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Kellenberg Memorial    10- 7       3     2          n/a  
   328 A Ward Melville           7-10      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   403 A Bay Shore              16-13       3     0    +      3.01
   405 H Connetquot             12-13      -1    -2           1.51
   410 H Riverhead              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.21
   412 H West Islip              7-12      -5     0    --    -4.39
   414 A Sachem North           10- 5       5     9    --    -4.15
   417 A Massapequa              5-12      -7   -10          n/a  
   418 A Northport               6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.76
   420 H Middle Country         17- 6      11    14           0.00
   425 A Smithtown East         10- 9  o    1     2          -1.02
   428 H Patchogue-Medford      15- 5      10     8           1.73
   501 A Half Hollow Hills East  9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.18
   503 H Longwood               18- 4      14    14           0.00
   508 H Smithtown West          4-11      -7    -7           0.57
   510 A Sachem East            10- 7       3     5    -     -2.34
   515 H Lindenhurst            16- 5      11     5    ++     5.00
   518 A Half Hollow Hills East  6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H West Islip              7-12      -5     0    --    -4.39
   414 A Sachem North           10- 5       5     9    --    -4.15
   418 A Northport               6- 9      -3     2    --    -5.76
   410 H Riverhead              10- 9       1     3    -     -2.21
   510 A Sachem East            10- 7       3     5    -     -2.34
   518 A Half Hollow Hills East  6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Ward Melville           7-10      -3   -13    +++    7.00
   501 A Half Hollow Hills East  9- 8  o    1    -4    ++     5.18
   515 H Lindenhurst            16- 5      11     5    ++     5.00
   403 A Bay Shore              16-13       3     0    +      3.01
   417 A Massapequa              5-12      -7   -10    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.80 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.39 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/