Region = MD    MILL-E           
   Nickname = D Cougars              Coach  =   Bryan Frates          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.1016998    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (16- 4, 95.9)     1-16   
 309 H Sts Peter & Paul       MD B  MIAA    (11- 8, 95.0)     6- 8   
 313 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (11-10, 89.9)     5- 9   
 315 H Proctor Academy        NE    NNELL   (13- 8, 86.6)     8- 6   
 317 A Blue Ridge School, VA  VA 1  VIC     (17- 3, 96.1)     8-14   
 323 A Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 1-11, 68.3)    15- 4   
 324 N Ardrey Kell            NC    Conf-15 (16- 5, 90.7)     9-13   
 329 A Friends                MD B  MIAA    (16- 3, 99.9)    11-12   
 403 A Gunston School         MD    MILL-E  ( 8- 6, 79.0)    16- 6   
 405 H St Maria Goretti       MD    MILL-W  ( 8- 9, 77.8)    12- 3   
 406 H Loyola Academy, IL     IL A  Cath    (22- 3, 99.9)     6-15   
 409 H St Albans, DC          DC    IAC     ( 9-10, 88.1)     8-15   
 413 A Worcester Prep         MD    MILL-E  ( 7- 6, 84.0)    11-12  o
 418 A The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (17- 5, 93.5)     8-16   
 421 A Archbishop Curley      MD B  MIAA    (12- 7, 96.4)     9- 6   
 424 H Indian Creek School    MD C  MIAA-C  (14- 5, 98.5)    15- 5   
 427 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    ( 6-13, 85.4)     4-10   
 502 H Gunston School         MD    MILL-E  ( 8- 6, 79.0)    15- 5   
 508 A Worcester Prep         MD    MILL-E  ( 7- 6, 84.0)     8- 5   
 511 N The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (17- 5, 93.5)     6-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Bullis                  1-16     -15   -11          n/a  
   309 H Sts Peter & Paul        6- 8      -2    -9          n/a  
   313 A Bishop O'Connell        5- 9      -4    -4           0.78
   315 H Proctor Academy         8- 6       2     0          n/a  
   317 A Blue Ridge School, VA   8-14      -6   -10          n/a  
   323 A Cary Academy           15- 4      11    16          n/a  
   324 N Ardrey Kell             9-13      -4    -5          n/a  
   329 A Friends                11-12      -1   -14          n/a  
   403 A Gunston School         16- 6      10     6    +      3.91
   405 H St Maria Goretti       12- 3       9     7           1.04
   406 H Loyola Academy, IL      6-15      -9   -13          n/a  
   409 H St Albans, DC           8-15      -7    -1          n/a  
   413 A Worcester Prep         11-12  o   -1     1    -     -2.14
   418 A The Heights             8-16      -8    -8           0.40
   421 A Archbishop Curley       9- 6       3   -11          n/a  
   424 H Indian Creek School    15- 5      10   -12          n/a  
   427 A St Marys Ryken          4-10      -6     0    --    -5.72
   502 H Gunston School         15- 5      10     6    +      3.25
   508 A Worcester Prep          8- 5       3     1           1.86
   511 N The Heights             6-11      -5    -8    +      3.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H St Albans, DC           8-15      -7    -1    --         
   427 A St Marys Ryken          4-10      -6     0    --    -5.72
   413 A Worcester Prep         11-12  o   -1     1    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Sts Peter & Paul        6- 8      -2    -9    +++        
   329 A Friends                11-12      -1   -14    +++        
   421 A Archbishop Curley       9- 6       3   -11    +++        
   424 H Indian Creek School    15- 5      10   -12    +++        
   317 A Blue Ridge School, VA   8-14      -6   -10    ++         
   315 H Proctor Academy         8- 6       2     0    +          
   403 A Gunston School         16- 6      10     6    +      3.91
   502 H Gunston School         15- 5      10     6    +      3.25
   511 N The Heights             6-11      -5    -8    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.46 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.12 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/